Double Bay NSW Property Investment

Woollahra · 2028 · Score: 72/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$6.94M
Rental Yield
2.6%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$3500/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.83M
Population
4,709
Days on Market
30 days
Annual Growth
30.6%

Double Bay Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$649/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$95K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Double Bay NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the suburb scores 72.0 / 100 on the Estait Investment Scorecard, the highest single figure we have that justifies a positive stance.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $6,939,701 (pending peer validation). - Growth trend: not supplied in the data set, so we cannot quantify recent price change. - Days on market: not supplied.

Signal: With a median price near $7 million, Double Bay sits firmly in the premium‑price segment. In the absence of days‑on‑market or growth data, the high scorecard suggests the market is still attractive to buyers who can meet the price level, while sellers can expect strong buyer interest from high‑net‑worth investors.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not supplied. - Weekly rent: not supplied. - Gross yield: cannot be calculated without rent data. - Demand rating: not supplied.

Implication: Because rental metrics are unavailable, investors should treat the rental stream as an unknown and focus on capital‑growth expectations (as reflected by the 72‑point scorecard) until reliable rental data becomes available.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: not supplied. - Occupancy: not supplied. - Estimated annual revenue: cannot be estimated.

Conclusion: With no STR data, we cannot determine whether a long‑term rental (LTR) or short‑term rental (STR) strategy would be superior. The default recommendation is to treat the property as a long‑term hold until STR market intelligence is obtained.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects / transport / employment base: not supplied.

Drivers/Limits: The lack of explicit infrastructure or employment data means we cannot pinpoint specific catalysts or constraints. Double Bay’s reputation as an affluent bayside suburb typically brings strong transport links and a stable professional resident base, but these points remain unquantified in the provided data.

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## 6. Bull Case Given the only concrete figure is the median house price of ≈ $6.94 million, the bull case would be any upward movement beyond this level. Without growth percentages or comparable benchmarks, we cannot assign a numeric upside target; the case rests on the suburb maintaining its premium status and the scorecard staying at or above the current 72‑point level.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Data‑based Indicator | |------|----------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy figure supplied – uncertainty around rental income. | | Single‑employer dependency | No employment‑sector breakdown supplied – cannot assess concentration risk. | | Supply pipeline | No data on upcoming developments – unknown future inventory pressure. | | Rate sensitivity | High‑value properties are generally more sensitive to interest‑rate changes, but no specific mortgage‑service‑ability figures are provided. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: around the median – ≈ $6.5 million – $7.2 million (using the median as a reference point). - Minimum yield to target: cannot be set precisely without rent data; investors should aim for a gross yield that meets or exceeds the broader Sydney high‑end average once rental figures become available. - Watch signals: 1. Peer‑validated median price (when the $6.94 M figure is confirmed). 2. Release of any rental‑market statistics (vacancy, rent). 3. Announcement of major infrastructure or development projects in the area. - Recommended strategy: Acquire at or slightly below the median price and hold for long‑term capital appreciation, monitoring for the arrival of reliable rental data to later layer a long‑term rental income stream. Until such data emerges, treat the investment primarily as a capital‑growth play supported by the strong 72‑point scorecard.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
▲Inner/middle ring location (3.1km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
—Mixed tenure (43% renters) — transitional suburb profile
▲Active development pipeline (666 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
6.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
5.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.3% + 10yr CAGR 11.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (666 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

10 green2 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
30 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
3500 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.32 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
11.13 high impact
1yr Price Growth
30.6 medium impact
Population Growth
0.29 high impact
Median Household Income
3077 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
9.1 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
3.1 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
53.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.62 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.12 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

109

2020

90

2021

146

2022

208

2023

113

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2028

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

4,709

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Double Bay NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $3500/wk median rent for Double Bay. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Double Bay PS
PrimaryGovernment
8.7/10
Rose Bay SC
SecondaryGovernment
8.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.