Maroubra NSW Property Investment

SUBURB INVESTMENT BRIEF — Maroubra, NSW 2035 LGA: Randwick Generated: 2026-04-11 | Estait AI Analysis

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Overall Score: 67/100 — Buy

Maroubra rates as "Buy" due to weak growth indicators, tight rental market (1.4% vacancy).

Maroubra sits in a correction phase of the property cycle with an overall investment score of 67 out of 100. This assessment reflects the suburb's growth trajectory, rental market health, economic resilience, and infrastructure positioning within the NSW market.

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MARKET POSITION

Median house price: $3,000,000 Median unit price: $1,155,000 Median weekly rent: $1,100/week Days on market: 46 days (worsening)

Maroubra commands a premium position in the NSW property landscape. Properties are spending an average of 46 days on market, pointing to softer demand conditions.

Comparable suburbs: - Zetland (NSW): Median $2,610,153, yield 2.0%, 1yr growth 8.7% - Glebe (NSW): Median $2,700,000, yield 1.8%, 1yr growth 3.3% - Watsons Bay (NSW): Median $2,733,804, yield 3.1%, 1yr growth 14.7%

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RENTAL MARKET

Gross rental yield: 1.9% Net rental yield: 0.4% Vacancy rate: 1.4% (worsening) Rental demand: Very High

The rental market in Maroubra is characterised by very high demand with a vacancy rate of 1.4%, which is well below the national average of approximately 2.5%. Vacancy is trending worsening, warranting careful monitoring.

Short-term rental data indicates a median nightly rate of $240 with an estimated occupancy of 68%. This translates to an estimated annual STR revenue of $59,568 before expenses. This represents a 4% premium over estimated long-term rental income of $57,200/year, though STR comes with higher management costs and regulatory risk.

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GROWTH OUTLOOK

Population growth (5yr): 1.0% Price CAGR (5yr): -1.3% Capital growth (3yr forecast): -1.4% Supply pipeline: Moderate

Development activity consistent with long-term averages

Infrastructure & transport: - No major infrastructure projects identified. Transport: Well-connected inner-city location

If Maroubra maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.0%, median prices could reach $3,450,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

At current trajectory (1.0% growth, 1.4% vacancy, 1.9% yield), Maroubra offers steady returns with moderate capital appreciation in line with broader market trends.

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RISK ASSESSMENT

Market cycle position: Correction Vacancy risk: Low

Key risks: - Negative price growth suggests a softening market - Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

Interest rate sensitivity (est. monthly repayment on median house price, 80% LVR): - At 7%: $15,967/month - At 8%: $17,610/month - At 9%: $19,311/month

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Maroubra pull back 10-15% from $3,000,000, with vacancy rising to 2.5% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

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LIVEABILITY

Affluence rating: Very High Safety score: 7.0/10 Walkability: 65/100 Owner-occupied: 35%

Schools: - Maroubra Public School (primary): Rating 7.0/10 - Maroubra Primary School (primary): Rating 6.6/10 - Maroubra High School (secondary): Rating 6.8/10

Maroubra is a highly sought-after residential area with good safety ratings and moderate walkability. The 35% owner-occupier rate indicates a predominantly rental market.

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RECOMMENDATION — BUY

Maroubra presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels.

Conditions: Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 1.9% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current correction phase of the market cycle.

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KEY ACTION ITEMS

1. Shortlist properties in the $2,700,000 - 3,300,000 range for deeper analysis 2. Verify current vacancy and rental rates with local property managers 3. Assess STR regulatory environment with local council 4. Model cash flow at 7%+ interest rates before committing 5. Engage a buyer's agent with Maroubra market expertise for off-market opportunities

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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.