North Wollongong NSW Property Investment

Wollongong · 2500 · Score: 62/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.30M
Rental Yield
3.4%
Vacancy Rate
2.4%
Median Weekly Rent
$850/wk
Median Unit Price
$838K
Population
2,299
Days on Market
42 days
Annual Growth
-4.4%

North Wollongong Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$464.88/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$68K
AI Investment Analysis

North Wollongong NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the key figure is the median house price of $1,303,494 (sole‑source data from OnTheHouse, not yet peer‑validated).

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $1,303,494 (sole source). - Growth trend: not supplied in the data set. - Days on market: not supplied.

Signal: With a median price above $1.3 m, the market sits in the higher‑end bracket for the Wollongong region. Without growth or DOM data we cannot confirm whether the market is accelerating or cooling, so buyers should treat the price as a reference point that still needs independent verification. Sellers can use the high median as a bargaining chip, but must be prepared for potential buyer caution until the figure is validated.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not supplied. - Weekly rent: not supplied. - Gross yield: not supplied. - Demand rating: not supplied.

Implication: In the absence of rental metrics we cannot calculate yield or assess demand pressure. Investors should obtain current vacancy and rent figures before committing to a long‑term rental (LTR) strategy.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental (STR) Opportunity - Nightly rate: not supplied. - Occupancy: not supplied. - Estimated annual revenue: not supplied.

Conclusion: Without STR data we cannot compare LTR versus STR profitability. A separate market scan for short‑term performance is required to decide which model suits North Wollongong.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - No specific projects, transport upgrades, or employment‑base details are provided for North Wollongong.

Effect: Lack of concrete infrastructure information means we cannot quantify any demand catalyst or constraint. Investors should monitor council releases and state‑level project announcements for future drivers.

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## 6. Bull Case Because the data set does not include growth rates, supply pipelines, or infrastructure timelines, we cannot attach numeric upside targets. A generic bull scenario would rely on:

  1. 1Validation of the median price (e.g., peer‑validated data confirming the $1.3 m level).
  2. 2Positive infrastructure announcements (new transport links or commercial developments).
  3. 3Improved rental fundamentals (lower vacancy, higher rents).

If these materialise, the suburb could see price appreciation and yield improvement, but we cannot assign a specific percentage or dollar figure without supporting data.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Data‑backed Detail | |------|-------------------| | Median‑price validation | The $1,303,494 figure comes from a single source; if peer‑validated data shows a lower median, price expectations could drop. | | Vacancy risk | Vacancy rate is not supplied; an unexpected rise could erode yields. | | Rental‑income risk | Weekly rent and gross yield are missing; investors cannot confirm cash‑flow adequacy. | | Supply pipeline | No data on new dwellings; a sudden influx of supply could pressure prices and rents. | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | As with all high‑value properties, a rise in rates could reduce buyer affordability and increase holding costs. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: Target purchases around the sole‑source median of ≈ $1.3 m, but negotiate a discount until the figure is independently confirmed. - Minimum yield to target: Cannot be set until weekly rent and vacancy data are obtained; aim for a gross yield that meets or exceeds your portfolio hurdle (e.g., 4‑5%). - Watch signals: 1. Peer‑validated median price data. 2. Release of any council or state infrastructure projects. 3. Updated rental market statistics (vacancy, rent levels). 4. Changes in interest‑rate policy that affect borrowing costs. - Recommended strategy: Adopt a cautious Hold stance. Secure a property at or below the $1.3 m median, conduct thorough due‑diligence on rental returns, and wait for external data (price validation, infrastructure announcements) before scaling exposure or shifting to an aggressive acquisition plan.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (6.8% CAGR)
High renter base (48%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (6738 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
6.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.8% + 10yr CAGR 6.4%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.4%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (6738 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green7 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.4 high impact
Days on Market
42 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
850 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.82 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
6.42 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-4.4 medium impact
Population Growth
1.42 high impact
Median Household Income
1621 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.5 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
66.44 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
49.3 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.39 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.89 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,211

2020

1,385

2021

1,228

2022

1,346

2023

1,568

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2500

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

43,472

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

2/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on North Wollongong NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $850/wk median rent for North Wollongong. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Wollongong PS
PrimaryGovernment
7.9/10
Keira HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.