Durack NT Property Investment

Litchfield · 0830 · Score: 65/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$648K
Rental Yield
5.6%
Vacancy Rate
2.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$700/wk
Median Unit Price
$626K
Population
3,730
Days on Market
36 days
Annual Growth
17.2%

Durack Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$630/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$92K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Durack NT Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the Investment Scorecard rates Durack at 65.0 / 100, which is the highest‑impact figure we have and places the suburb in the “Buy” band.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $652,469– (peer sources disagree by >10%; use the full range). - Growth trend: *Data not provided.* - Days on market: *Data not provided.*

Signal: The wide valuation range suggests price uncertainty. Buyers should negotiate carefully and verify recent sales. Sellers can highlight the upper end of the range to attract higher offers, but must be prepared for price scrutiny.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: *Data not provided.* - Weekly rent: *Data not provided.* - Gross yield: *Data not provided.* - Demand rating: *Data not provided.*

Implication: Without rental metrics we cannot calculate yield or assess tenant demand. Investors should obtain current vacancy and rent figures before committing to a rental strategy.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *Data not provided.* - Occupancy: *Data not provided.* - Estimated annual revenue: *Data not provided.*

Conclusion: We cannot determine whether long‑term rental (LTR) or short‑term rental (STR) would generate a superior return. Conduct a local STR market scan (e.g., Airbnb listings) to decide.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects / transport: *Data not provided.* - Employment base: *Data not provided.*

Drivers/Limits: With no infrastructure or employment data, we cannot identify specific demand catalysts or constraints. Verify council plans, road upgrades, and major employer activity before finalising an investment thesis.

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## 6. Bull Case If the suburb’s price range tightens toward the upper bound and rental demand improves, a plausible upside could be:

  • Median house price moving to the top of the range ($652,469–).
  • Yield improvement if weekly rent rises above current market levels (exact figure unavailable).

Because we lack concrete rental and growth numbers, we cannot attach precise upside percentages.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Detail (numbers where available) | |------|-----------------------------------| | Valuation uncertainty | Median price quoted as a range ($652,469–), indicating >10 % disagreement among sources. | | Rental income volatility | No vacancy or rent data – inability to model cash flow increases exposure to unexpected vacancies. | | Employment concentration | No data on major employers; a single‑employer suburb would be vulnerable to job cuts. | | Supply pipeline | No information on new housing approvals; a sudden influx of supply could pressure prices. | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | Without cash‑flow figures we cannot gauge debt service stress, but any rise in rates would affect affordability. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: Target purchases near the lower end of the quoted range (≈ $652,469). - Minimum yield to target: Cannot be set until weekly rent and vacancy data are sourced; aim for a gross yield that exceeds the cost of capital. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of a consolidated median price (range narrowing). 2. Release of local vacancy and rent statistics. 3. Announcement of infrastructure or employment projects. - Recommended strategy: 1. Conduct on‑the‑ground due diligence to obtain current rent, vacancy, and development data. 2. Negotiate purchase price toward the lower bound of the range to build a margin of safety. 3. If rental data show a gross yield above your hurdle rate, proceed with a long‑term rental (LTR) acquisition; otherwise, explore short‑term rental (STR) feasibility.

*Proceed only after filling the data gaps identified above.*

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
▲Inner/middle ring location (13.9km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
—Mixed tenure (44% renters) — transitional suburb profile
▲Active development pipeline (409 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
1.4%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
1.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
1.1%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 1.1% + 10yr CAGR 3.2%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.0%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (409 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green6 yellow2 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2 high impact
Days on Market
36 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
700 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
1.07 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.21 high impact
1yr Price Growth
17.19 medium impact
Population Growth
0.32 high impact
Median Household Income
2027 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
13.89 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
52.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.62 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
4.12 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

51

2020

119

2021

99

2022

84

2023

56

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 0830

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 4 of 10 — Average

Population

18,501

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Durack NT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $700/wk median rent for Durack. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.