Cashmere QLD Property Investment

Moreton Bay · 4500 · Score: 64/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.42M
Rental Yield
3.1%
Vacancy Rate
1.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$850/wk
Median Unit Price
$959K
Population
4,970
Days on Market
48 days
Annual Growth
23.9%

Cashmere Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$456/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$73K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Cashmere QLD Investment Brief

HOLD — 3.1% gross yield on a $1,424,871 median.

THE MARKET

Cashmere has compounded at 2.8%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,241,109 in 2021 is worth $1,424,871 today. Properties are sitting on market for 48 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,635,841 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,424,871 | Units: $959,394
  • Gross yield: 3.1% | Net yield: 1.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 4,970 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $850/wk | Days on market: 48 (worsening)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $456/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$73,295/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $44,200/yr (+66% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Brisbane 2032 Olympic Games Infrastructure (Announced)
  • Transport: Lawnton station 6.4km away

BULL CASE

If Cashmere maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,638,602 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Cashmere pull back 10-15% from $1,424,871, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Samford Village (QLD): $1,573,088 median, 2.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Mount Nebo (QLD): $1,169,103 median, 1.7% yield, 5.5% 1yr growth
  • Dakabin (QLD): $1,020,958 median, 3.2% yield, 7.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Cashmere offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $1,282,384 – $1,567,358
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.0/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
—Outer suburban location (23.3km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
▲Active development pipeline (21414 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
2.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.8% + 10yr CAGR 3.4%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (21414 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green6 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.2 high impact
Days on Market
48 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
850 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.8 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.38 high impact
1yr Price Growth
23.85 medium impact
Population Growth
1.49 high impact
Median Household Income
1947 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
23.34 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
69.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.1 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.6 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,057

2020

5,365

2021

4,175

2022

3,011

2023

4,806

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4500

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

45,656

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

8/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Cashmere QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $850/wk median rent for Cashmere. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Mount Samson SS
PrimaryGovernment
7.5/10
Bray Park SHS
SecondaryGovernment
5.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.