Innisfail Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Innisfail QLD Investment Analysis
SUBURB INVESTMENT BRIEF — Innisfail, QLD 4860 LGA: Generated: 2026-04-11 | Estait AI Analysis
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Overall Score: 69/100 — Buy
Innisfail rates as "Buy" due to strong growth fundamentals, attractive 6.0% gross yield.
Innisfail sits in a growth phase of the property cycle with an overall investment score of 69 out of 100. This assessment reflects the suburb's growth trajectory, rental market health, economic resilience, and infrastructure positioning within the QLD market.
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MARKET POSITION
Median house price: $340,000 Median unit price: $107,425 Median weekly rent: $395/week Days on market: 34 days (stable)
Innisfail offers an accessible entry point in the QLD property landscape. Properties are spending an average of 34 days on market, suggesting balanced supply-demand dynamics.
Comparable suburbs: - Bundaberg (QLD): Median $291,160, yield 6.2%, 1yr growth -4.9% - Charters Towers (QLD): Median $287,871, yield 6.3%, 1yr growth -4.0% - Cooktown (QLD): Median $435,000, yield 10.2%, 1yr growth 27.9%
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RENTAL MARKET
Gross rental yield: 6.0% Net rental yield: 4.5% Vacancy rate: 2.8% (stable) Rental demand: Moderate
The rental market in Innisfail is characterised by moderate demand with a vacancy rate of 2.8%, which is near the national average of approximately 2.5%. Vacancy is trending stable, maintaining steady conditions.
Short-term rental data indicates a median nightly rate of $185 with an estimated occupancy of 70%. This translates to an estimated annual STR revenue of $47,268 before expenses. This represents a 130% premium over estimated long-term rental income of $20,540/year, though STR comes with higher management costs and regulatory risk.
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GROWTH OUTLOOK
Population growth (5yr): 1.2% Price CAGR (5yr): 27.9% Capital growth (3yr forecast): 31.4% Supply pipeline: Low
Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
Infrastructure & transport: - No major infrastructure projects identified. Transport: Well-connected inner-city location
If Innisfail maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $391,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
At current trajectory (1.2% growth, 2.8% vacancy, 6.0% yield), Innisfail offers steady returns with moderate capital appreciation in line with broader market trends.
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RISK ASSESSMENT
Market cycle position: Growth Vacancy risk: Moderate
Key risks: - No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
Interest rate sensitivity (est. monthly repayment on median house price, 80% LVR): - At 7%: $1,810/month - At 8%: $1,996/month - At 9%: $2,189/month
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Innisfail pull back 10-15% from $340,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
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LIVEABILITY
Affluence rating: Low Safety score: 8.3/10 Walkability: 90/100 Owner-occupied: 32%
Schools: - Innisfail Public School (primary): Rating 10.0/10 - Innisfail East Public School (primary): Rating 9.5/10 - Innisfail West Public School (primary): Rating 9.0/10 - Innisfail High School (secondary): Rating 10.0/10
Innisfail provides affordable living with excellent safety ratings and strong walkability. The 32% owner-occupier rate indicates a predominantly rental market.
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RECOMMENDATION — BUY
Innisfail presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and moderate rental demand supports entry at current price levels.
Conditions: Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 6.0% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current growth phase of the market cycle.
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KEY ACTION ITEMS
1. Shortlist properties in the $306,000 - 374,000 range for deeper analysis 2. Verify current vacancy and rental rates with local property managers 3. Assess STR regulatory environment with local council 4. Model cash flow at 7%+ interest rates before committing 5. Engage a buyer's agent with Innisfail market expertise for off-market opportunities
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.