Margate QLD Property Investment

Moreton Bay · 4019 · Score: 58/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.09M
Rental Yield
3.0%
Vacancy Rate
1.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$630/wk
Median Unit Price
$876K
Population
7,575
Days on Market
44 days
Annual Growth
14.1%

Margate Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$467/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$75K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Margate QLD Investment Brief

HOLD — 3.0% gross yield on a $1,088,957 median.

THE MARKET

Margate has compounded at 4.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $886,487 in 2021 is worth $1,088,957 today. Properties are sitting on market for 44 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,337,671 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,088,957 | Units: $875,644
  • Gross yield: 3.0% | Net yield: 1.5%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 7,575 | Owner-occupier rate: 60% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $630/wk | Days on market: 44 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $467/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$75,061/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $32,760/yr (+129% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Kippa-Ring station 2.8km away

BULL CASE

If Margate maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,252,301 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Margate pull back 10-15% from $1,088,957, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Birkdale (QLD): $1,384,425 median, 2.9% yield, 11.2% 1yr growth
  • Scarborough (QLD): $1,362,047 median, 2.7% yield, 26.0% 1yr growth
  • Zillmere (QLD): $1,068,425 median, 3.2% yield, 11.8% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Margate offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $980,061 – $1,197,853
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.5/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
—Moderate capital growth (4.2% CAGR)
—Outer suburban location (26.4km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
—Mixed tenure (38% renters) — transitional suburb profile
▲Active development pipeline (21414 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (21414 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green7 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.2 high impact
Days on Market
44 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
630 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.3 high impact
1yr Price Growth
14.11 medium impact
Population Growth
0.46 high impact
Median Household Income
1283 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.4 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
26.35 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
59.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.01 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.51 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,057

2020

5,365

2021

4,175

2022

3,011

2023

4,806

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4019

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

20,576

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

2/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Margate QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $630/wk median rent for Margate. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Humpybong SS
PrimaryGovernment
5.9/10
Clontarf Beach SHS
SecondaryGovernment
5.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.