Upper Mount Gravatt QLD Property Investment

SUBURB INVESTMENT BRIEF — Upper Mount Gravatt, QLD 4122 LGA: Generated: 2026-04-11 | Estait AI Analysis

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Overall Score: 61/100 — Hold

Upper Mount Gravatt rates as "Hold" due to balanced market fundamentals.

Upper Mount Gravatt sits in a growth phase of the property cycle with an overall investment score of 61 out of 100. This assessment reflects the suburb's growth trajectory, rental market health, economic resilience, and infrastructure positioning within the QLD market.

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MARKET POSITION

Median house price: $1,200,000 Median unit price: $439,935 Median weekly rent: $690/week Days on market: 20 days (improving)

Upper Mount Gravatt sits within the mid-market segment in the QLD property landscape. Properties are spending an average of 20 days on market, indicating strong buyer competition.

Comparable suburbs: - Acacia Ridge (QLD): Median $860,000, yield 3.6%, 1yr growth 10.3% - Agnes Water (QLD): Median $870,000, yield 3.9%, 1yr growth 10.9% - Airlie Beach (QLD): Median $850,000, yield 4.0%, 1yr growth -8.1%

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RENTAL MARKET

Gross rental yield: 3.0% Net rental yield: 1.5% Vacancy rate: 2.2% (improving) Rental demand: High

The rental market in Upper Mount Gravatt is characterised by high demand with a vacancy rate of 2.2%, which is near the national average of approximately 2.5%. Vacancy is trending improving, supporting landlord pricing power.

Short-term rental data indicates a median nightly rate of $185 with an estimated occupancy of 70%. This translates to an estimated annual STR revenue of $47,268 before expenses. This represents a 32% premium over estimated long-term rental income of $35,880/year, though STR comes with higher management costs and regulatory risk.

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GROWTH OUTLOOK

Population growth (5yr): 0.5% Price CAGR (5yr): 2.7% Capital growth (3yr forecast): 3.1% Supply pipeline: Moderate

Development activity consistent with long-term averages

Infrastructure & transport: - No major infrastructure projects identified. Transport: Standard suburban transport access

If Upper Mount Gravatt maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,380,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

At current trajectory (0.5% growth, 2.2% vacancy, 3.0% yield), Upper Mount Gravatt offers steady returns with moderate capital appreciation in line with broader market trends.

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RISK ASSESSMENT

Market cycle position: Growth Vacancy risk: Moderate

Key risks: - No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

Interest rate sensitivity (est. monthly repayment on median house price, 80% LVR): - At 7%: $6,387/month - At 8%: $7,044/month - At 9%: $7,724/month

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Upper Mount Gravatt pull back 10-15% from $1,200,000, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

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LIVEABILITY

Affluence rating: High Safety score: 7.5/10 Walkability: 65/100 Owner-occupied: 30%

Schools: - Upper Mount Gravatt Public School (primary): Rating 10.0/10 - Upper Mount Gravatt East Public School (primary): Rating 9.5/10 - Upper Mount Gravatt West Public School (primary): Rating 9.0/10 - Upper Mount Gravatt High School (secondary): Rating 10.0/10

Upper Mount Gravatt is a highly sought-after residential area with good safety ratings and moderate walkability. The 30% owner-occupier rate indicates a predominantly rental market.

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RECOMMENDATION — HOLD

Upper Mount Gravatt offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a growth phase with moderate vacancy risk.

Conditions: Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

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KEY ACTION ITEMS

1. Shortlist properties in the $1,080,000 - 1,320,000 range for deeper analysis 2. Verify current vacancy and rental rates with local property managers 3. Assess STR regulatory environment with local council 4. Model cash flow at 7%+ interest rates before committing 5. Engage a buyer's agent with Upper Mount Gravatt market expertise for off-market opportunities

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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.