Campbelltown SA Property Investment

Campbelltown (SA) · 5074 · Score: 68/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.19M
Rental Yield
3.0%
Vacancy Rate
0.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$680/wk
Median Unit Price
$697K
Population
9,263
Days on Market
41 days
Annual Growth
8.3%

Campbelltown Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$420/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$64K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Campbelltown SA Investment Brief

BUY — 3.0% gross yield on a $1,187,500 median.

THE MARKET

Campbelltown has compounded at 4.6%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $948,364 in 2021 is worth $1,187,500 today. Properties are sitting on market for 41 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,486,935 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,187,500 | Units: $697,234
  • Gross yield: 3.0% | Net yield: 1.5%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 9,263 | Owner-occupier rate: 63% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 0.8% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $680/wk | Days on market: 41 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $420/night | Occupancy: 42%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$64,444/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $35,360/yr (+82% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Adelaide Metro Train Services Franchise (Under Delivery)
  • North South Corridor (South Australia) (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Botanic Gardens station 6.8km away

BULL CASE

If Campbelltown maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,365,625 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Campbelltown pull back 10-15% from $1,187,500, with vacancy rising to 1.4% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Bushfire risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — confirm BAL rating and any bushfire overlay obligations for the property

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Gepps Cross (SA): $865,000 median, 2.0% yield, 2.1% 1yr growth
  • Mansfield Park (SA): $890,000 median, 3.6% yield, 12.9% 1yr growth
  • Woodville Gardens (SA): $920,000 median, 3.5% yield, 44.7% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Campbelltown presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.0% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,068,750 – $1,306,250
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
—Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
—Moderate capital growth (4.6% CAGR)
▲Inner/middle ring location (8.0km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
▲Active development pipeline (2632 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
5.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.6% + 10yr CAGR 5.5%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.1%/yr)
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.8%) — upward price pressure
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (2632 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green7 yellow2 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.8 high impact
Days on Market
41 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
680 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.57 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.54 high impact
1yr Price Growth
8.33 medium impact
Population Growth
2.13 high impact
Median Household Income
1447 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
50 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
7.99 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
63.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.98 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.48 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

816

2020

554

2021

423

2022

385

2023

454

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5074

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

14,380

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Campbelltown SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $680/wk median rent for Campbelltown. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

East Marden Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
8.2/10
Charles Campbell College
SecondaryGovernment
6.3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.