Roxburgh Park VIC Property Investment

SUBURB INVESTMENT BRIEF — Roxburgh Park, VIC 3064 LGA: Generated: 2026-04-11 | Estait AI Analysis

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Overall Score: 60/100 — Hold

Roxburgh Park rates as "Hold" due to balanced market fundamentals.

Roxburgh Park sits in a growth phase of the property cycle with an overall investment score of 60 out of 100. This assessment reflects the suburb's growth trajectory, rental market health, economic resilience, and infrastructure positioning within the VIC market.

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MARKET POSITION

Median house price: $700,000 Median unit price: $439,928 Median weekly rent: $560/week Days on market: 30 days (stable)

Roxburgh Park offers an accessible entry point in the VIC property landscape. Properties are spending an average of 30 days on market, suggesting balanced supply-demand dynamics.

Comparable suburbs: - Eumemmerring (VIC): Median $645,000, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0% - Eureka (VIC): Median $525,000, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0% - Euroa (VIC): Median $507,500, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0%

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RENTAL MARKET

Gross rental yield: 4.2% Net rental yield: 2.7% Vacancy rate: 2.6% (stable) Rental demand: Moderate

The rental market in Roxburgh Park is characterised by moderate demand with a vacancy rate of 2.6%, which is near the national average of approximately 2.5%. Vacancy is trending stable, maintaining steady conditions.

Short-term rental data indicates a median nightly rate of $175 with an estimated occupancy of 66%. This translates to an estimated annual STR revenue of $42,158 before expenses. This represents a 45% premium over estimated long-term rental income of $29,120/year, though STR comes with higher management costs and regulatory risk.

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GROWTH OUTLOOK

Population growth (5yr): 0.3% Price CAGR (5yr): 4.9% Capital growth (3yr forecast): 5.5% Supply pipeline: Low

Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

Infrastructure & transport: - No major infrastructure projects identified. Transport: Standard suburban transport access

If Roxburgh Park maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.8%, median prices could reach $805,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

At current trajectory (0.3% growth, 2.6% vacancy, 4.2% yield), Roxburgh Park offers steady returns with moderate capital appreciation in line with broader market trends.

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RISK ASSESSMENT

Market cycle position: Growth Vacancy risk: Moderate

Key risks: - No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

Interest rate sensitivity (est. monthly repayment on median house price, 80% LVR): - At 7%: $3,726/month - At 8%: $4,109/month - At 9%: $4,506/month

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Roxburgh Park pull back 10-15% from $700,000, with vacancy rising to 4.7% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

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LIVEABILITY

Affluence rating: Average Safety score: 7.2/10 Walkability: 50/100 Owner-occupied: 31%

Schools: - Roxburgh Park Public School (primary): Rating 10.0/10 - Roxburgh Park East Public School (primary): Rating 9.5/10 - Roxburgh Park West Public School (primary): Rating 9.0/10 - Roxburgh Park High School (secondary): Rating 10.0/10

Roxburgh Park offers a balanced lifestyle proposition with good safety ratings and moderate walkability. The 31% owner-occupier rate indicates a predominantly rental market.

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RECOMMENDATION — HOLD

Roxburgh Park offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a growth phase with moderate vacancy risk.

Conditions: Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.7%.

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KEY ACTION ITEMS

1. Shortlist properties in the $630,000 - 770,000 range for deeper analysis 2. Verify current vacancy and rental rates with local property managers 3. Assess STR regulatory environment with local council 4. Model cash flow at 7%+ interest rates before committing 5. Engage a buyer's agent with Roxburgh Park market expertise for off-market opportunities

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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.