Barton ACT Property Investment

Unincorporated ACT · 2600 · Score: 75/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$2.44M
Rental Yield
1.3%
Vacancy Rate
2.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$600/wk
Median Unit Price
$749K
Population
1,946
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
-1.5%

Barton Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$482.75/night
Occupancy Rate
52%
Est. Annual Revenue
$92K
AI Investment Analysis

Barton ACT Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the Investment Scorecard rates Barton at 75.0 / 100, the highest quantitative signal we have.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $2,000 (the only figure supplied). - Median‑trust note: Peer sources disagree by >10 %; the data set does not provide a range, so we cannot present a reliable median range. - Growth trend & days on market: Not supplied.

Signal: With only a single, low‑value median figure and no trend data, the market picture is unclear. The strong Scorecard suggests the suburb still carries investment appeal despite the data gaps.

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## 3. Rental Market No vacancy rate, weekly rent, gross yield, or demand rating is provided for Barton. Consequently we cannot quantify rental performance or investor implications.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity The dataset contains no STR nightly rate, occupancy, or revenue estimates. We therefore cannot compare long‑term versus short‑term rental attractiveness.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers No information on current projects, transport links, employment base, or other demand drivers is included. Proximity to Canberra’s CBD (within 5 km) would normally be a positive, but we have no explicit data to cite.

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## 6. Bull Case Because growth rates, supply pipelines, and demand catalysts are absent, we cannot model a specific upside scenario. The only positive indicator is the 75 / 100 Scorecard, which implies potential for capital appreciation if market fundamentals improve.

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## 7. Risks - Data insufficiency risk: The lack of concrete vacancy, rental, and growth figures makes it difficult to assess cash‑flow stability. - Valuation uncertainty: The median price is listed as $2,000 with no range; this likely reflects a data entry error, creating valuation ambiguity. - Interest‑rate sensitivity: High‑priced ACT suburbs typically react to rate changes; without a reliable price band, we cannot quantify exposure.

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: Based on the only price point available, consider a purchase around $2,000 – recognise this figure is likely incomplete and treat it as a placeholder until accurate pricing data is obtained. - Minimum yield target: Unable to set without rental income data. - Watch signals: 1. Release of a reliable median price range from multiple sources. 2. Publication of vacancy and rental‑rate statistics for Barton. 3. Any announced infrastructure or employment projects in the ACT Capital Region. - Recommended strategy: Given the strong Scorecard but severe data gaps, adopt a cautious buy‑and‑hold approach only after confirming accurate price and rental fundamentals. Secure a detailed market report before committing capital.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (4.9% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (3.0km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (22865 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
5.4%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.9% + 10yr CAGR 5.6%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (2.6%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.0%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (22865 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

8 green5 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
600 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.91 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.57 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-1.5 medium impact
Population Growth
2.64 high impact
Median Household Income
3016 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
2.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.9 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
3.02 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
67.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.28 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
-0.22 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,928

2020

5,078

2021

6,172

2022

3,856

2023

2,831

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2600

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

8,255

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Barton ACT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $600/wk median rent for Barton. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Forrest Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
8.5/10
Telopea Park School
SecondaryGovernment
9.1/10
Narrabundah College
SecondaryGovernment
8.5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Barton ACT Property Market — Median, Growth, Yield | Estait