Charnwood ACT Property Investment

Unincorporated ACT · 2615 · Score: 70/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$744K
Rental Yield
4.3%
Vacancy Rate
2.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$613/wk
Median Unit Price
$609K
Population
3,055
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
9.3%

Charnwood Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$397.06/night
Occupancy Rate
52%
Est. Annual Revenue
$75K
AI Investment Analysis

Charnwood ACT Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the decisive figure is the 3‑year growth forecast of 13.5%, which points to strong upside potential.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $743,500 - Median unit price: $609,245 - 1‑year price growth: 9.3% - 5‑year CAGR: 3.2% per annum - Days on market: *not supplied*

The 9.3% annual price rise and a 13.5% projected increase over the next three years show that capital values are still climbing sharply. Even without a days‑on‑market figure, the speed of price appreciation signals a seller’s market – buyers must act quickly, while sellers can command strong offers.

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## 3. Rental Market - Median weekly rent: $613 - Gross rental yield: 4.3% - Vacancy rate: *not supplied* - Demand rating: *not supplied*

A 4.3% gross yield sits above the national average for capital cities, indicating solid rental income. The lack of vacancy data prevents a precise risk assessment, but the yield suggests demand remains healthy.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *not supplied* - STR occupancy: *not supplied* - Estimated annual STR revenue: *cannot be calculated*

Because no short‑term rental metrics are available, we cannot quantify an STR case. With a respectable 4.3% long‑term yield and no STR data, long‑term rental (LTR) is the safer, more predictable option for investors at this time.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: *not supplied*

The investment scorecard of 70/100 implies a favourable underlying environment, but specific infrastructure or employment drivers are not provided in the data set.

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## 6. Bull Case Assume the 3‑year forecast of 13.5% materialises and rent keeps pace with inflation (≈3% p.a.).

MetricCurrentBull‑case (3 yr)
Median house price$743,500$844,000 (≈+$100,500)
Median weekly rent$613$672 (≈+$59)
Gross yield (if price stays at $844k)4.3%4.5%

Capital growth of roughly $100k on a $743.5k property would deliver a strong total return when combined with rising rent.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified aspect | Comment | |------|-------------------|---------| | Vacancy risk | *No vacancy data* | Unable to gauge rental downtime; a sudden rise could erode the 4.3% yield. | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | Yield 4.3% | If borrowing costs exceed the yield, cash‑flow pressure emerges. | | Supply pipeline | *No data on new dwellings* | An influx of new units could lift vacancy and suppress rents. | | Single‑employer dependency | *No employment data* | Lack of information means we cannot confirm concentration risk. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry price range: $609,245 (units) – $743,500 (houses) - Minimum yield target: ≥ 4.3% gross (to match current market). - Watch signals: 1. Publication of days‑on‑market and vacancy statistics. 2. Changes in the Reserve Bank cash rate (affects borrowing costs). 3. Announcements of new residential projects in the suburb. - Recommended strategy: Acquire a property at the lower end of the price band, hold for 3‑5 years to capture the forecast 13.5% capital gain, and let the property generate a 4.3%+ gross rental return. Re‑assess annually for any shift in vacancy or supply dynamics.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Inner/middle ring location (12.3km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (22865 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.0%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.0%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (22865 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green9 yellow1 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
613 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.01 high impact
1yr Price Growth
9.34 medium impact
Population Growth
1.4 high impact
Median Household Income
2262 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
7.2 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
12.34 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
5 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
75.8 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.29 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.79 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-03

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,928

2020

5,078

2021

6,172

2022

3,856

2023

2,831

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2615

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

47,356

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

7/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Charnwood ACT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $613/wk median rent for Charnwood. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Charnwood-Dunlop School
PrimaryGovernment
6/10
Melba Copland Secondary School (11-12)
SecondaryGovernment
6.6/10
Melba Copland Secondary School (7-10)
SecondaryGovernment
6.6/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.