Charnwood ACT Property Investment
Unincorporated ACT · 2615 · Score: 70/100 · Buy
Charnwood Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Charnwood ACT Investment Brief
## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the decisive figure is the 3‑year growth forecast of 13.5%, which points to strong upside potential.
---
## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $743,500 - Median unit price: $609,245 - 1‑year price growth: 9.3% - 5‑year CAGR: 3.2% per annum - Days on market: *not supplied*
The 9.3% annual price rise and a 13.5% projected increase over the next three years show that capital values are still climbing sharply. Even without a days‑on‑market figure, the speed of price appreciation signals a seller’s market – buyers must act quickly, while sellers can command strong offers.
---
## 3. Rental Market - Median weekly rent: $613 - Gross rental yield: 4.3% - Vacancy rate: *not supplied* - Demand rating: *not supplied*
A 4.3% gross yield sits above the national average for capital cities, indicating solid rental income. The lack of vacancy data prevents a precise risk assessment, but the yield suggests demand remains healthy.
---
## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *not supplied* - STR occupancy: *not supplied* - Estimated annual STR revenue: *cannot be calculated*
Because no short‑term rental metrics are available, we cannot quantify an STR case. With a respectable 4.3% long‑term yield and no STR data, long‑term rental (LTR) is the safer, more predictable option for investors at this time.
---
## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: *not supplied*
The investment scorecard of 70/100 implies a favourable underlying environment, but specific infrastructure or employment drivers are not provided in the data set.
---
## 6. Bull Case Assume the 3‑year forecast of 13.5% materialises and rent keeps pace with inflation (≈3% p.a.).
| Metric | Current | Bull‑case (3 yr) |
|---|---|---|
| Median house price | $743,500 | $844,000 (≈+$100,500) |
| Median weekly rent | $613 | $672 (≈+$59) |
| Gross yield (if price stays at $844k) | 4.3% | 4.5% |
Capital growth of roughly $100k on a $743.5k property would deliver a strong total return when combined with rising rent.
---
## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified aspect | Comment | |------|-------------------|---------| | Vacancy risk | *No vacancy data* | Unable to gauge rental downtime; a sudden rise could erode the 4.3% yield. | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | Yield 4.3% | If borrowing costs exceed the yield, cash‑flow pressure emerges. | | Supply pipeline | *No data on new dwellings* | An influx of new units could lift vacancy and suppress rents. | | Single‑employer dependency | *No employment data* | Lack of information means we cannot confirm concentration risk. |
---
## 8. The Play - Entry price range: $609,245 (units) – $743,500 (houses) - Minimum yield target: ≥ 4.3% gross (to match current market). - Watch signals: 1. Publication of days‑on‑market and vacancy statistics. 2. Changes in the Reserve Bank cash rate (affects borrowing costs). 3. Announcements of new residential projects in the suburb. - Recommended strategy: Acquire a property at the lower end of the price band, hold for 3‑5 years to capture the forecast 13.5% capital gain, and let the property generate a 4.3%+ gross rental return. Re‑assess annually for any shift in vacancy or supply dynamics.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.0%
- +Low rental vacancy (2.0%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (22865 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-03
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
4,928
2020
5,078
2021
6,172
2022
3,856
2023
2,831
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2615
Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
47,356
Education (IEO)
9/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
7/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Charnwood ACT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $613/wk median rent for Charnwood. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Charnwood
Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Charnwood.
Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.