Hawker Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Hawker ACT Investment Analysis
HOLD
— 3.0% gross yield on a $1,100,000 median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Hawker sits at $1,100,000 with 48 days on market and a 1.1% vacancy rate. This is a tight rental market right now.
- **Median house:** $1,100,000 | **Units:** $370,234 - **Gross yield:** 3.0% | **Net yield:** 1.5% - **5yr price CAGR:** -11.4%/yr | **3yr forecast:** -12.9%/yr - **Population:** 14,605 | **Owner-occupier rate:** 26% | **Affluence:** Very High
- **Supply pipeline:** Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- **Vacancy:** 1.1% (worsening) | **Rental demand:** Very High - **Median weekly rent:** $635/wk | **Days on market:** 48 (worsening) - Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- **Median nightly rate:** $170/night | **Occupancy:** 67% - **Estimated annual STR gross:** ~$41,574/yr - **vs long-term rent:** $33,020/yr (+26% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record. - **Transport:** Well-connected inner-city location
BULL CASE
If Hawker maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,265,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Hawker pull back 10-15% from $1,100,000, with vacancy rising to 2.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Negative price growth suggests a softening market
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- **Ainslie** (ACT): $1,400,000 median, 3.0% yield, -0.3% 1yr growth - **Amaroo** (ACT): $980,000 median, 3.7% yield, 3.8% 1yr growth - **Aranda** (ACT): $1,400,000 median, 2.5% yield, 3.8% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Hawker offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a trough phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $990,000 – $1,210,000 - Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.