Mawson ACT Property Investment

THE MARKET

Mawson recorded 1.8% annual price growth over the past 5 years — a $1,100,000 house bought in 2019 would be worth approximately $1,006,129 today. Properties are sitting on the market for 52 days (buyers have some room to negotiate).

- **Median house:** $1,100,000 | **Units:** $901,634 - **Gross yield:** 3.4% | **Net yield:** 1.9% - **Vacancy:** 1.6% (stable) | **Rental demand:** High - **5yr price growth:** 1.8%/yr | **3yr forecast:** 2.1%/yr - **Days on market:** 52 (worsening)

STR potential: $170/night at 67% occupancy = ~$41,574/yr gross. That's a **11% premium** over long-term rent — but factor in higher management costs and council rules.

BULL CASE

If Mawson maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $1,265,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Mawson pull back 10-15% from $1,100,000, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

WHAT TO DO

Mawson presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.4% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current growth phase of the market cycle.

- Entry range: $990,000 – $1,210,000 - Minimum yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.