Adelong NSW Property Investment
Cootamundra-Gundagai · 2729 · Score: 48/100 · Caution
Adelong Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Adelong NSW Investment Brief
CAUTION — $543,928 (pending peer validation) median with 27.3%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Adelong has compounded at 27.3%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $543,928 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 29 days (sellers have the leverage).
- Median house: $543,928 (pending peer validation) | Units: $342,178
- Gross yield: 2.6% | Net yield: 1.1%
- 5yr price CAGR: 27.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 938 | Owner-occupier rate: 75% | Affluence: Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $270/wk | Days on market: 29 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $503/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$73,420/yr
- vs long-term rent: $14,040/yr (+423% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- HumeLink Transmission Line (Under Procurement)
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Adelong maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $625,517 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Adelong pull back 10-15% from $543,928, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Bungawalbin (NSW): $580,000 median, 3.6% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
- Drake (NSW): $538,734 median, 3.9% yield, 7.9% 1yr growth
- Rappville (NSW): $392,978 median, 5.3% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Adelong carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A boom market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $489,535 – $598,321
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 27.3% + 10yr CAGR 17.0%
- +Active market (29 days avg)
- −Population decline (-0.9%/yr) — demand headwind
- −High supply pipeline (181 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
18
2020
42
2021
72
2022
31
2023
18
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2729
Decile 4 of 10 — Average
Population
1,622
Education (IEO)
4/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
6/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Adelong NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $270/wk median rent for Adelong. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.