Albury NSW Property Investment

SUBURB INVESTMENT BRIEF — Albury, NSW 2640 LGA: Generated: 2026-04-11 | Estait AI Analysis

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Overall Score: 64/100 — Hold

Albury rates as "Hold" due to tight rental market (1.1% vacancy).

Albury sits in a growth phase of the property cycle with an overall investment score of 64 out of 100. This assessment reflects the suburb's growth trajectory, rental market health, economic resilience, and infrastructure positioning within the NSW market.

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MARKET POSITION

Median house price: $940,000 Median unit price: $263,371 Median weekly rent: $520/week Days on market: 54 days (worsening)

Albury sits within the mid-market segment in the NSW property landscape. Properties are spending an average of 54 days on market, pointing to softer demand conditions.

Comparable suburbs: - Marsden Park (NSW): Median $1,200,000, yield 3.5%, 1yr growth 5.8% - Mittagong (NSW): Median $1,100,000, yield 3.2%, 1yr growth 12.9% - Leppington (NSW): Median $1,000,000, yield 4.2%, 1yr growth -5.5%

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RENTAL MARKET

Gross rental yield: 2.9% Net rental yield: 1.4% Vacancy rate: 1.1% (improving) Rental demand: Very High

The rental market in Albury is characterised by very high demand with a vacancy rate of 1.1%, which is well below the national average of approximately 2.5%. Vacancy is trending improving, supporting landlord pricing power.

Short-term rental data indicates a median nightly rate of $195 with an estimated occupancy of 68%. This translates to an estimated annual STR revenue of $48,399 before expenses. This represents a 79% premium over estimated long-term rental income of $27,040/year, though STR comes with higher management costs and regulatory risk.

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GROWTH OUTLOOK

Population growth (5yr): 0.0% Price CAGR (5yr): 5.2% Capital growth (3yr forecast): 5.9% Supply pipeline: Low

Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

Infrastructure & transport: - Oddies Creek Splash Park (under construction) - Albury Wodonga Regional Hospital Project (under construction) - Thurgoona Wirlinga Primary School and Preschool (under construction) Transport: Well-connected inner-city location

If Albury maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,081,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

At current trajectory (0.0% growth, 1.1% vacancy, 2.9% yield), Albury offers steady returns with moderate capital appreciation in line with broader market trends.

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RISK ASSESSMENT

Market cycle position: Growth Vacancy risk: Low

Key risks: - No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

Interest rate sensitivity (est. monthly repayment on median house price, 80% LVR): - At 7%: $5,003/month - At 8%: $5,518/month - At 9%: $6,051/month

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Albury pull back 10-15% from $940,000, with vacancy rising to 2.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

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LIVEABILITY

Affluence rating: Above Average Safety score: 7.3/10 Walkability: 90/100 Owner-occupied: 34%

Schools: - Albury Public School (primary): Rating 10.0/10 - Albury East Public School (primary): Rating 9.5/10 - Albury West Public School (primary): Rating 9.0/10 - Albury High School (secondary): Rating 10.0/10

Albury offers a balanced lifestyle proposition with good safety ratings and strong walkability. The 34% owner-occupier rate indicates a predominantly rental market.

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RECOMMENDATION — HOLD

Albury offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a growth phase with low vacancy risk.

Conditions: Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

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KEY ACTION ITEMS

1. Shortlist properties in the $846,000 - 1,034,000 range for deeper analysis 2. Verify current vacancy and rental rates with local property managers 3. Assess STR regulatory environment with local council 4. Model cash flow at 7%+ interest rates before committing 5. Engage a buyer's agent with Albury market expertise for off-market opportunities

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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.