Asquith NSW Property Investment

Hornsby · 2077 · Score: 69/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.68M
Rental Yield
2.8%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$908/wk
Median Unit Price
$742K
Population
6,160
Days on Market
60 days
Annual Growth
1.4%

Asquith Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$416/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$61K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Asquith NSW Investment Brief

BUY — 2.8% gross yield on a $1,684,780 median.

THE MARKET

Asquith has compounded at 3.3%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,432,325 in 2021 is worth $1,684,780 today. Properties are sitting on market for 60 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,981,731 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,684,780 | Units: $741,949
  • Gross yield: 2.8% | Net yield: 1.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 6,160 | Owner-occupier rate: 59% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $908/wk | Days on market: 60 (worsening)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $416/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$60,800/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $47,216/yr (+29% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • NorthConnex Tunnel (Operational)
  • Beaches Link Tunnel (Sydney) (Announced)
  • Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
  • Parramatta Light Rail Stage 1 (Operational)
  • Transport: Asquith station 0.3km away

BULL CASE

If Asquith maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $1,937,497 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Asquith pull back 10-15% from $1,684,780, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Georges Hall (NSW): $1,400,285 median, 3.4% yield, 7.7% 1yr growth
  • Cabramatta West (NSW): $1,231,328 median, 2.9% yield, 7.8% 1yr growth
  • Guildford West (NSW): $1,243,404 median, 3.4% yield, 8.8% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Asquith presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.8% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current boom phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,516,302 – $1,853,258
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.0/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
—Outer suburban location (22.2km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
—Mixed tenure (39% renters) — transitional suburb profile
▲Active development pipeline (2252 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.3% + 10yr CAGR 1.6%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (2.5%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (2252 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green3 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
60 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
908 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.32 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
1.56 high impact
1yr Price Growth
1.4 medium impact
Population Growth
2.53 high impact
Median Household Income
2108 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
8.1 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
22.2 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
59 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.8 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.3 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

627

2020

418

2021

423

2022

391

2023

393

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2077

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

42,819

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Asquith NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $908/wk median rent for Asquith. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Asquith PS
PrimaryGovernment
7.9/10
Asquith HS
SecondaryGovernment
7.5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.