Bella Vista NSW Property Investment
Parramatta · 2153 · Score: 73/100 · Buy
Bella Vista Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Bella Vista NSW Investment Brief
## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the suburb scores 73.0 / 100 on the Estait Investment Scorecard, the highest single figure that supports the recommendation.
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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $2,243,053 (sole source – OnTheHouse, not peer‑validated). - Growth trend: *Data not supplied.* - Days on market: *Data not supplied.*
Signal: With a median price above $2 million, buyers will need strong financing capacity, while sellers can command premium offers. The lack of growth‑trend data means we cannot confirm whether price momentum is accelerating or decelerating.
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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: *Data not supplied.* - Weekly rent: *Data not supplied.* - Gross yield: *Data not supplied.* - Demand rating: *Data not supplied.*
Implication: Without rental‑income metrics we cannot calculate yield or assess tenant demand. Investors should obtain current rent and vacancy figures before committing to a rental strategy.
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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *Data not supplied.* - Occupancy: *Data not supplied.* - Estimated annual revenue: *Data not supplied.*
Conclusion: In the absence of STR data we cannot compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental (STR) profitability for Bella Vista.
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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: *Data not supplied.*
Drivers/Limits: With no supplied information on new developments, transport upgrades or major employers, we cannot identify specific catalysts or constraints on demand.
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## 6. Bull Case If the suburb maintains its high‑price positioning and attracts additional buyer interest, capital growth could exceed the broader Sydney average. However, no specific growth rates or price targets are provided, so the upside remains qualitative rather than numeric.
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## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified Element (if any) | Comment | |------|----------------------------|---------| | Vacancy risk | *No vacancy data* | Unable to gauge rental‑income stability. | | Single‑employer dependency | *No employment data* | Cannot assess concentration risk. | | Supply pipeline | *No pipeline data* | Unknown whether new housing will dilute prices. | | Rate sensitivity | High median price (≈ $2.24 m) | Large loan amounts make the suburb vulnerable to interest‑rate hikes. |
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## 8. The Play - Entry range: Target properties around the $2,243,053 median (sole source). - Minimum yield to target: *Cannot be set* without rent or STR figures. - Watch signals: 1. Release of any peer‑validated median price data. 2. Publication of local vacancy and rent statistics. 3. Announcement of infrastructure or employment projects in the area. - Recommended strategy: Acquire a property at or below the median price, hold for long‑term capital appreciation, and monitor rental‑market data to decide whether to pursue LTR or STR once reliable figures become available.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 6.4% + 10yr CAGR 8.8%
- +Above-average population growth (2.0%/yr)
- +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (13861 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
3,150
2020
2,410
2021
2,761
2022
2,325
2023
3,215
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2153
Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
62,610
Education (IEO)
9/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
10/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Bella Vista NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $1100/wk median rent for Bella Vista. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Bella Vista
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.