Bella Vista NSW Property Investment

Parramatta · 2153 · Score: 73/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$2.24M
Rental Yield
2.5%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1100/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.42M
Population
8,384
Days on Market
48 days
Annual Growth
12.0%

Bella Vista Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$438.25/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$64K
AI Investment Analysis

Bella Vista NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the suburb scores 73.0 / 100 on the Estait Investment Scorecard, the highest single figure that supports the recommendation.

---

## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $2,243,053 (sole source – OnTheHouse, not peer‑validated). - Growth trend: *Data not supplied.* - Days on market: *Data not supplied.*

Signal: With a median price above $2 million, buyers will need strong financing capacity, while sellers can command premium offers. The lack of growth‑trend data means we cannot confirm whether price momentum is accelerating or decelerating.

---

## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: *Data not supplied.* - Weekly rent: *Data not supplied.* - Gross yield: *Data not supplied.* - Demand rating: *Data not supplied.*

Implication: Without rental‑income metrics we cannot calculate yield or assess tenant demand. Investors should obtain current rent and vacancy figures before committing to a rental strategy.

---

## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *Data not supplied.* - Occupancy: *Data not supplied.* - Estimated annual revenue: *Data not supplied.*

Conclusion: In the absence of STR data we cannot compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental (STR) profitability for Bella Vista.

---

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: *Data not supplied.*

Drivers/Limits: With no supplied information on new developments, transport upgrades or major employers, we cannot identify specific catalysts or constraints on demand.

---

## 6. Bull Case If the suburb maintains its high‑price positioning and attracts additional buyer interest, capital growth could exceed the broader Sydney average. However, no specific growth rates or price targets are provided, so the upside remains qualitative rather than numeric.

---

## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified Element (if any) | Comment | |------|----------------------------|---------| | Vacancy risk | *No vacancy data* | Unable to gauge rental‑income stability. | | Single‑employer dependency | *No employment data* | Cannot assess concentration risk. | | Supply pipeline | *No pipeline data* | Unknown whether new housing will dilute prices. | | Rate sensitivity | High median price (≈ $2.24 m) | Large loan amounts make the suburb vulnerable to interest‑rate hikes. |

---

## 8. The Play - Entry range: Target properties around the $2,243,053 median (sole source). - Minimum yield to target: *Cannot be set* without rent or STR figures. - Watch signals: 1. Release of any peer‑validated median price data. 2. Publication of local vacancy and rent statistics. 3. Announcement of infrastructure or employment projects in the area. - Recommended strategy: Acquire a property at or below the median price, hold for long‑term capital appreciation, and monitor rental‑market data to decide whether to pursue LTR or STR once reliable figures become available.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (6.4% CAGR)
Outer suburban location (28.0km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Active development pipeline (13861 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
7.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
6.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
5.7%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.4% + 10yr CAGR 8.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.0%/yr)
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (13861 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

8 green4 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
48 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1100 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.37 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
8.77 high impact
1yr Price Growth
12 medium impact
Population Growth
2.05 high impact
Median Household Income
2496 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
27.97 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
76.4 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.55 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.05 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

3,150

2020

2,410

2021

2,761

2022

2,325

2023

3,215

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2153

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

62,610

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Bella Vista NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1100/wk median rent for Bella Vista. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Matthew Pearce PS
PrimaryGovernment
9.5/10
Model Farms HS
SecondaryGovernment
7.4/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

Analyse a Property in Bella Vista

Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Bella Vista.

Analyse a Property →

Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.