Binnaway NSW Property Investment

Warrumbungle · 2395 · Score: 44/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$165K
Rental Yield
4.7%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$150/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
658
Days on Market
64 days
Annual Growth
29.4%

Binnaway Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$715/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$104K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Binnaway NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Avoid – the suburb scores 44.0 / 100 on the Estait Investment Scorecard, flagging a cautious outlook.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $165,000 (median trust, approximate). - Median unit price: not available. - Growth trend: no data supplied on price growth or recent percentage change. - Days on market: not provided.

*Signal:* With only an approximate median price and no evidence of price appreciation or quick sales, the market offers limited upside for buyers and little leverage for sellers at this stage.

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## 3. Rental Market | Metric | Figure | Comment | |--------|--------|---------| | Median weekly rent | $150 | Directly supplied. | | Vacancy rate | Data not available | Cannot gauge rental pressure. | | Gross rental yield* | ≈ 9.1 % | Calculated as $150 × 52 ÷ $165,000. | | Demand rating | Data not available | No insight into tenant demand. |

*What it means:* The calculated gross yield of roughly 9 % looks attractive, but the absence of vacancy and demand data makes it impossible to confirm whether that yield is sustainable.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental (STR) Opportunity - Nightly rate: data not available. - Occupancy rate: data not available. - Estimated annual STR revenue: cannot be estimated without nightly and occupancy figures.

*Conclusion:* With no STR metrics, we cannot compare long‑term rental (LTR) against short‑term rental. LTR remains the only quantifiable option.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects: none listed. - Transport links: not detailed. - Employment base: not detailed.

*Drivers/Limiting factors:* The lack of disclosed infrastructure or major employment hubs suggests limited near‑term catalysts for demand growth.

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## 6. Bull Case If the suburb were to attract new employment or infrastructure investment, a modest price uplift could occur. For illustration:

  • Assumed price rise: +10 % → median house price ≈ $181,500.
  • Rent unchanged at $150/week → gross yield falls to ≈ 8.6 %.

Even with a 10 % price increase, the yield remains respectable, but the scenario relies on external catalysts that are not currently documented.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Detail (with numbers where possible) | |------|--------------------------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy data; a rise above the norm could erode the 9 % gross yield. | | Single‑employer dependency | Employment profile not supplied; reliance on a single large employer would heighten risk. | | Supply pipeline | No information on upcoming housing supply; a sudden influx could push rents down. | | Rate sensitivity | At a $165k price point, a 5 % rise in interest rates would increase annual mortgage costs by roughly $4,125 (assuming a 30‑year loan), pressuring cash flow. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry price range: around $165,000 (the approximate median house price). - Minimum yield target: ≥ 9 % gross to compensate for data gaps and potential vacancy. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of vacancy or demand data for Binnaway. 2. Announcement of new infrastructure, transport upgrades, or major employer projects. 3. Evidence of price growth (e.g., quarterly price reports). - Recommended strategy: Given the low investment score and the paucity of supporting data, avoid acquiring property in Binnaway until clearer evidence of rental demand, infrastructure investment, or employment diversification emerges. If you must enter, do so at the lower end of the price range and only if you can secure a gross yield of at least 9 % to buffer the unknown risks.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.8/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
—Moderate development activity (26 approvals)

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
1.6%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
1.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
1.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.0% + 10yr CAGR 1.7%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.6%/yr)
Headwinds
  • −Slow market (64 days avg) — buyer hesitancy

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green4 yellow10 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
64 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
150 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
1.99 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
1.71 high impact
1yr Price Growth
29.4 medium impact
Population Growth
1.56 high impact
Median Household Income
777 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
10.8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
2.1 medium impact
School Zone Quality
2.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
309.29 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
76.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.73 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.23 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1

2020

5

2021

5

2022

9

2023

6

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2395

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

725

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Binnaway NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $150/wk median rent for Binnaway. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Binnaway CS
PrimaryGovernment
No data
Binnaway CS
SecondaryGovernment
No data

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.