Boggabri NSW Property Investment

Gunnedah · 2382 · Score: 51/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$328K
Rental Yield
6.7%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$425/wk
Median Unit Price
$252K
Population
1,203
Days on Market
31 days
Annual Growth
25.0%

Boggabri Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$564.19/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$82K
AI Investment Analysis

Boggabri NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the median house price of approximately $327,868 (pending peer validation) anchors the market at a level that suggests limited upside without clear growth drivers.

## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: around $327,868 (pending validation). - Growth trend: not supplied in the data set, so we cannot quantify recent price movement. - Days on market: not supplied.

*Signal:* With only a single, un‑validated price point, the market appears neutral. Buyers lack evidence of price pressure, while sellers cannot claim strong demand. The absence of growth and DOM data means the market leans neither strongly buyer‑ nor seller‑friendly.

## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: data not provided. - Weekly rent: data not provided. - Gross yield: cannot be calculated without rent figures. - Demand rating: not supplied.

*Implication:* Investors cannot assess rental cash‑flow reliability at this stage. The lack of vacancy and rent data introduces uncertainty around yield expectations.

## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: data not provided. - Occupancy: data not provided. - Estimated annual revenue: cannot be estimated without nightly rate and occupancy.

*Conclusion:* With no STR metrics, we cannot determine whether long‑term rental (LTR) or short‑term rental (STR) would generate a superior return.

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: not supplied.

*Impact:* Without identified infrastructure or employment catalysts, demand drivers remain unclear, limiting confidence in future price appreciation.

## 6. Bull Case If the median house price validates at around $327,868 and new infrastructure or employment projects emerge, the suburb could experience modest price uplift. For example, a 5 % price rise would lift the median to roughly $344,000, delivering capital growth for owners. However, specific upside figures cannot be modelled without concrete growth or demand data.

## 7. Risks | Risk | Evidence / Numbers | |------|--------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy data supplied – uncertainty around rental income. | | Single‑employer dependency | Employment base not disclosed – potential concentration risk cannot be quantified. | | Supply pipeline | No information on new housing supply – unknown impact on price pressure. | | Rate sensitivity | General market exposure to interest‑rate changes; no suburb‑specific data to gauge impact. |

## 8. The Play - Entry range: around the median – approximately $327,868. - Minimum yield target: cannot be set without rent data; investors should wait for verified rental figures before committing. - Watch signals: 1. Peer‑validated median price. 2. Release of vacancy and rent statistics. 3. Announcement of any infrastructure or major employer projects. - Recommended strategy: Maintain a Hold position. Monitor the above signals; if validated rental yields emerge or infrastructure projects are confirmed, consider a targeted acquisition at the median price level. Until then, avoid new exposure due to data gaps.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Above-average capital growth (9.1% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (231 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
5.9%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.7%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 9.1% + 10yr CAGR 2.9%

Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (231 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green7 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
31 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
425 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
9.07 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
2.92 high impact
1yr Price Growth
25 medium impact
Population Growth
0.92 high impact
Median Household Income
1477 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
369.28 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
60.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
6.74 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
5.24 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

14

2020

66

2021

69

2022

53

2023

29

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2382

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

1,381

Education (IEO)

1/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Boggabri NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $425/wk median rent for Boggabri. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Boggabri PS
PrimaryGovernment
3.2/10
Gunnedah HS
SecondaryGovernment
3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.