Bondi NSW Property Investment

Waverley · 2026 · Score: 71/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$4.35M
Rental Yield
2.4%
Vacancy Rate
1.3%
Median Weekly Rent
$1973/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.47M
Population
10,411
Days on Market
44 days
Annual Growth
7.1%

Bondi Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$551.06/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$80K
AI Investment Analysis

Bondi NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the 7.1% 1‑year price growth is the key driver, showing strong recent capital appreciation.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $4,347,492 - Median unit price: $1,471,277 - 1‑yr price growth: 7.1% - 5‑yr CAGR: 6.7% per annum - 3‑yr growth forecast: 7.3% per annum - Days on market: data not supplied

Signal: Double‑digit price growth over the past year and a forecast above 7% suggest sellers can still command premium prices, while buyers must be prepared for high entry costs. The lack of days‑on‑market data prevents a precise read on market speed, but the growth figures imply a seller‑favourable environment.

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## 3. Rental Market - Median weekly rent: $1,973 - Gross rental yield: 2.4% - Vacancy rate: data not supplied - Demand rating: data not supplied

Implication: Rental income is high in absolute terms, but the 2.4% gross yield is low relative to the price base. Investors should view Bondi primarily as a capital‑growth asset rather than a high‑yield rental market. Without vacancy data we cannot gauge rental security, so a conservative cash‑flow model is advisable.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: data not supplied - STR occupancy: data not supplied - Estimated annual STR revenue: data not supplied

Conclusion: With no STR metrics available, we cannot quantify the short‑term rental upside. Given the strong long‑term price trajectory, a long‑term rental (LTR) strategy remains the default recommendation until STR data emerges.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects / transport / employment base: data not supplied

Observation: Bondi’s reputation as a beachside suburb close to Sydney’s CBD (within 5 km) already provides strong lifestyle appeal and access to existing transport networks. In the absence of specific project data, the suburb’s intrinsic desirability continues to underpin demand.

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## 6. Bull Case Assume the 3‑yr growth forecast of 7.3% per annum materialises:

  • House price after 3 years: $4,347,492 × (1 + 0.073)³ ≈ $5.37 million
  • Unit price after 3 years: $1,471,277 × (1 + 0.073)³ ≈ $1.82 million

If yields improve modestly (e.g., to 3.0%) while prices follow the forecast, investors could achieve both capital growth and a more attractive cash‑flow profile.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Detail (with numbers) | |------|-----------------------| | Yield sensitivity | Gross yield sits at 2.4%; a 1‑point rise in interest rates could erode net cash flow. | | Vacancy uncertainty | Vacancy rate not provided – a rise could further depress the already low yield. | | Supply pipeline | No data on upcoming developments; a surge in new units could increase competition and pressure rents. | | Price‑to‑rent imbalance | With median house price > $4.3 M and yield 2.4%, the price‑to‑rent ratio is high, making the market vulnerable to macro‑economic shocks. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: - Houses: around $4.0 M – $4.5 M (centred on the $4,347,492 median) - Units: around $1.4 M – $1.5 M (centred on the $1,471,277 median)

  • Minimum yield target: aim for ≥ 3.0% gross to provide a buffer against rate hikes and vacancy risk.
  • Watch signals:
  • Recommended strategy: Acquire a high‑quality unit or house at the lower end of the entry range, hold for 5‑7 years to capture the projected 7%+ annual capital growth, and monitor rental yield. If a reliable STR market materialises, re‑evaluate the asset for a mixed‑use (LTR + STR) approach, but default to long‑term rental until STR data is available.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (6.7% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (5.4km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
High renter base (56%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (1122 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
6.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
6.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
5.5%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.7% + 10yr CAGR 7.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.3%) — upward price pressure
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (1122 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green3 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.3 high impact
Days on Market
44 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1973 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.67 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
7.07 high impact
1yr Price Growth
7.1 medium impact
Population Growth
0.12 high impact
Median Household Income
2896 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
8.5 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
5.42 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
40.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.36 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.86 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

231

2020

208

2021

416

2022

115

2023

152

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2026

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

32,693

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Bondi NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1973/wk median rent for Bondi. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Bellevue Hill PS
PrimaryGovernment
8.9/10
Rose Bay SC
SecondaryGovernment
8.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.