Bondi NSW Property Investment
Waverley · 2026 · Score: 71/100 · Buy
Bondi Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Bondi NSW Investment Brief
## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the 7.1% 1‑year price growth is the key driver, showing strong recent capital appreciation.
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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $4,347,492 - Median unit price: $1,471,277 - 1‑yr price growth: 7.1% - 5‑yr CAGR: 6.7% per annum - 3‑yr growth forecast: 7.3% per annum - Days on market: data not supplied
Signal: Double‑digit price growth over the past year and a forecast above 7% suggest sellers can still command premium prices, while buyers must be prepared for high entry costs. The lack of days‑on‑market data prevents a precise read on market speed, but the growth figures imply a seller‑favourable environment.
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## 3. Rental Market - Median weekly rent: $1,973 - Gross rental yield: 2.4% - Vacancy rate: data not supplied - Demand rating: data not supplied
Implication: Rental income is high in absolute terms, but the 2.4% gross yield is low relative to the price base. Investors should view Bondi primarily as a capital‑growth asset rather than a high‑yield rental market. Without vacancy data we cannot gauge rental security, so a conservative cash‑flow model is advisable.
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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: data not supplied - STR occupancy: data not supplied - Estimated annual STR revenue: data not supplied
Conclusion: With no STR metrics available, we cannot quantify the short‑term rental upside. Given the strong long‑term price trajectory, a long‑term rental (LTR) strategy remains the default recommendation until STR data emerges.
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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects / transport / employment base: data not supplied
Observation: Bondi’s reputation as a beachside suburb close to Sydney’s CBD (within 5 km) already provides strong lifestyle appeal and access to existing transport networks. In the absence of specific project data, the suburb’s intrinsic desirability continues to underpin demand.
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## 6. Bull Case Assume the 3‑yr growth forecast of 7.3% per annum materialises:
- House price after 3 years: $4,347,492 × (1 + 0.073)³ ≈ $5.37 million
- Unit price after 3 years: $1,471,277 × (1 + 0.073)³ ≈ $1.82 million
If yields improve modestly (e.g., to 3.0%) while prices follow the forecast, investors could achieve both capital growth and a more attractive cash‑flow profile.
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## 7. Risks | Risk | Detail (with numbers) | |------|-----------------------| | Yield sensitivity | Gross yield sits at 2.4%; a 1‑point rise in interest rates could erode net cash flow. | | Vacancy uncertainty | Vacancy rate not provided – a rise could further depress the already low yield. | | Supply pipeline | No data on upcoming developments; a surge in new units could increase competition and pressure rents. | | Price‑to‑rent imbalance | With median house price > $4.3 M and yield 2.4%, the price‑to‑rent ratio is high, making the market vulnerable to macro‑economic shocks. |
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## 8. The Play - Entry range: - Houses: around $4.0 M – $4.5 M (centred on the $4,347,492 median) - Units: around $1.4 M – $1.5 M (centred on the $1,471,277 median)
- Minimum yield target: aim for ≥ 3.0% gross to provide a buffer against rate hikes and vacancy risk.
- Watch signals:
- Recommended strategy: Acquire a high‑quality unit or house at the lower end of the entry range, hold for 5‑7 years to capture the projected 7%+ annual capital growth, and monitor rental yield. If a reliable STR market materialises, re‑evaluate the asset for a mixed‑use (LTR + STR) approach, but default to long‑term rental until STR data is available.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 6.7% + 10yr CAGR 7.1%
- +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.3%) — upward price pressure
- +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
- −High supply pipeline (1122 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
231
2020
208
2021
416
2022
115
2023
152
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2026
Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
32,693
Education (IEO)
10/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
4/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Bondi NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $1973/wk median rent for Bondi. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Analyse a Property in Bondi
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.