Borenore NSW Property Investment
Dubbo · 2800 · Score: 56/100 · Hold
Borenore Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Borenore NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — $850,000–$1,400,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median with 20.0%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Borenore has compounded at 20.0%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $850,000–$1,400,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 49 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $850,000–$1,400,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: 20.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: -26.1%/yr
- Population: 476 | Owner-occupier rate: 66% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (worsening) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $570/wk | Days on market: 49 (worsening)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $556/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$81,249/yr
- vs long-term rent: $29,640/yr (+174% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Orange Station station 13.4km away
BULL CASE
If Borenore maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $977,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Borenore pull back 10-15% from $850,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Negative price growth suggests a softening market
- - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Barrack Heights (NSW): $919,310 median, 3.9% yield, 9.3% 1yr growth
- Macquarie Fields (NSW): $1,027,033 median, 3.1% yield, 7.6% 1yr growth
- Bidwill (NSW): $931,236 median, 2.9% yield, 7.6% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Borenore offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a boom phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $765,000 – $935,000
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 20.0% + 10yr CAGR 10.0%
- −High supply pipeline (1929 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
257
2020
458
2021
341
2022
393
2023
480
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2800
Decile 6 of 10 — Average
Population
48,283
Education (IEO)
6/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
6/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Borenore NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $570/wk median rent for Borenore. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.