Borenore NSW Property Investment

Dubbo · 2800 · Score: 56/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$850K
Rental Yield
3.5%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$570/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
476
Days on Market
49 days
Annual Growth
-6.6%

Borenore Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$556.5/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$81K
AI Investment Analysis

Borenore NSW Investment Brief

HOLD$850,000$1,400,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median with 20.0%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Borenore has compounded at 20.0%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $850,000$1,400,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 49 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $850,000$1,400,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 20.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: -26.1%/yr
  • Population: 476 | Owner-occupier rate: 66% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (worsening) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $570/wk | Days on market: 49 (worsening)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $556/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$81,249/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $29,640/yr (+174% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Orange Station station 13.4km away

BULL CASE

If Borenore maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $977,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Borenore pull back 10-15% from $850,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Negative price growth suggests a softening market
  • - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Barrack Heights (NSW): $919,310 median, 3.9% yield, 9.3% 1yr growth
  • Macquarie Fields (NSW): $1,027,033 median, 3.1% yield, 7.6% 1yr growth
  • Bidwill (NSW): $931,236 median, 2.9% yield, 7.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Borenore offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a boom phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $765,000$935,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Strong capital growth (20.0% CAGR) — above national average
Active development pipeline (1929 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
14.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
13.1%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
11.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 20.0% + 10yr CAGR 10.0%

Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (1929 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green6 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
49 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
570 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
19.97 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
9.97 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-6.62 medium impact
Population Growth
1.42 high impact
Median Household Income
1713 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
218.89 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
66.4 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.49 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.99 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

257

2020

458

2021

341

2022

393

2023

480

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2800

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

48,283

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Borenore NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $570/wk median rent for Borenore. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Borenore PS
PrimaryGovernment
5.5/10
Orange HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.