Bringelly NSW Property Investment

Camden · 2556 · Score: 51/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$2.41M
Rental Yield
1.9%
Vacancy Rate
2.1%
Median Weekly Rent
$900/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.18M
Population
2,433
Days on Market
88 days
Annual Growth
18.9%

Bringelly Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$519.38/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$76K
AI Investment Analysis

Bringelly NSW Investment Brief

HOLD1.9% gross yield on a $2,414,703 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Bringelly has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $2,414,703 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 88 days (buyers have negotiating room).

  • Median house: $2,414,703 (pending peer validation) | Units: $1,182,020
  • Gross yield: 1.9% | Net yield: 0.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 3.5%/yr
  • Population: 2,433 | Owner-occupier rate: 74% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.1% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $900/wk | Days on market: 88 (worsening)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $519/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$75,829/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $46,800/yr (+62% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Western Sydney International (Nancy-Bird Walton) Airport (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro - Western Sydney Airport Line (Under Construction)
  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Leppington station 7.1km away

BULL CASE

If Bringelly maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $2,776,908 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Bringelly pull back 10-15% from $2,414,703, with vacancy rising to 3.8% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Long Point (NSW): $2,700,000 median, 1.2% yield, 12.5% 1yr growth
  • Pinkett (NSW): $2,650,000 median, 0.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Gum Scrub (NSW): $2,013,000 median, 1.2% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Bringelly offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a above_trend phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $2,173,233$2,656,173
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Stable / established1.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Active development pipeline (10386 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
1.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
1.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
1.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 2.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.1%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.6%/yr) — demand headwind
  • Slow market (88 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • High supply pipeline (10386 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green3 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.1 high impact
Days on Market
88 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
900 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
2.78 high impact
1yr Price Growth
18.9 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.6 high impact
Median Household Income
1833 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
2.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
4.5 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
44.67 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
73.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.94 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.44 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

2,089

2020

2,459

2021

2,475

2022

1,756

2023

1,607

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2556

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

2,433

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Bringelly NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $900/wk median rent for Bringelly. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Bringelly PS
PrimaryGovernment
4/10
John Edmondson HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.