Burringbar NSW Property Investment

Tweed · 2483 · Score: 48/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$1.40M
Rental Yield
3.2%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$850/wk
Median Unit Price
$360K
Population
878
Days on Market
214 days
Annual Growth
7.3%

Burringbar Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$305/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$72K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Burringbar NSW Investment Brief

CAUTION — 3.2% gross yield on a $1,399,779 median.

THE MARKET

Burringbar has compounded at 5.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,086,378 in 2021 is worth $1,399,779 today. Properties are sitting on market for 214 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,803,591 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,399,779 | Units: $359,965
  • Gross yield: 3.2% | Net yield: 1.7%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 5.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 878 | Owner-occupier rate: 68% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $850/wk | Days on market: 214 (worsening)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Burringbar maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,609,746 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Burringbar pull back 10-15% from $1,399,779, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Georges Hall (NSW): $1,400,285 median, 3.4% yield, 7.7% 1yr growth
  • Mount Druitt (NSW): $1,116,863 median, 2.9% yield, 22.1% 1yr growth
  • Bass Hill (NSW): $1,328,447 median, 3.4% yield, 12.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Burringbar carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A boom market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $1,259,801 – $1,539,757
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.0/10
—Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
—Moderate capital growth (5.2% CAGR)
▲Active development pipeline (1502 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
2.6%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.1%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 5.2% + 10yr CAGR 1.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.8%/yr)
Headwinds
  • −Slow market (214 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (1502 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green8 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
214 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
850 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
5.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
1.12 high impact
1yr Price Growth
7.3 medium impact
Population Growth
1.83 high impact
Median Household Income
1442 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
643.05 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
68.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.16 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.66 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

211

2020

339

2021

381

2022

281

2023

290

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2483

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

11,616

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Burringbar NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $850/wk median rent for Burringbar. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Burringbar PS
PrimaryGovernment
5.8/10
Murwillumbah HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.