Concord Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Concord NSW Investment Analysis
SUBURB INVESTMENT BRIEF — Concord, NSW 2137 LGA: Generated: 2026-04-11 | Estait AI Analysis
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Overall Score: 70/100 — Buy
Concord rates as "Buy" due to strong growth fundamentals.
Concord sits in a growth phase of the property cycle with an overall investment score of 70 out of 100. This assessment reflects the suburb's growth trajectory, rental market health, economic resilience, and infrastructure positioning within the NSW market.
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MARKET POSITION
Median house price: $3,300,000 Median unit price: $795,134 Median weekly rent: $1,025/week Days on market: 43 days (stable)
Concord commands a premium position in the NSW property landscape. Properties are spending an average of 43 days on market, pointing to softer demand conditions.
Comparable suburbs: - Zetland (NSW): Median $2,610,153, yield 2.0%, 1yr growth 8.7% - Glebe (NSW): Median $2,700,000, yield 1.8%, 1yr growth 3.3% - Watsons Bay (NSW): Median $2,733,804, yield 3.1%, 1yr growth 14.7%
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RENTAL MARKET
Gross rental yield: 1.6% Net rental yield: 0.1% Vacancy rate: 2.0% (improving) Rental demand: High
The rental market in Concord is characterised by high demand with a vacancy rate of 2.0%, which is near the national average of approximately 2.5%. Vacancy is trending improving, supporting landlord pricing power.
Short-term rental data indicates a median nightly rate of $195 with an estimated occupancy of 68%. This translates to an estimated annual STR revenue of $48,399 before expenses. Long-term rental at $53,300/year may offer comparable or better risk-adjusted returns given lower management overhead.
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GROWTH OUTLOOK
Population growth (5yr): 0.5% Price CAGR (5yr): 9.1% Capital growth (3yr forecast): 10.3% Supply pipeline: Low
Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
Infrastructure & transport: - No major infrastructure projects identified. Transport: Well-connected inner-city location
If Concord maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.4%, median prices could reach $3,795,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
At current trajectory (0.5% growth, 2.0% vacancy, 1.6% yield), Concord offers steady returns with moderate capital appreciation in line with broader market trends.
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RISK ASSESSMENT
Market cycle position: Growth Vacancy risk: Moderate
Key risks: - Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
Interest rate sensitivity (est. monthly repayment on median house price, 80% LVR): - At 7%: $17,564/month - At 8%: $19,371/month - At 9%: $21,242/month
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Concord pull back 10-15% from $3,300,000, with vacancy rising to 3.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
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LIVEABILITY
Affluence rating: Very High Safety score: 7.3/10 Walkability: 80/100 Owner-occupied: 30%
Schools: - Concord Public School (primary): Rating 10.0/10 - Concord East Public School (primary): Rating 9.5/10 - Concord West Public School (primary): Rating 9.0/10 - Concord High School (secondary): Rating 10.0/10
Concord is a highly sought-after residential area with good safety ratings and strong walkability. The 30% owner-occupier rate indicates a predominantly rental market.
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RECOMMENDATION — BUY
Concord presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels.
Conditions: Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 1.6% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current growth phase of the market cycle.
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KEY ACTION ITEMS
1. Shortlist properties in the $2,970,000 - 3,630,000 range for deeper analysis 2. Verify current vacancy and rental rates with local property managers 3. Assess STR regulatory environment with local council 4. Model cash flow at 7%+ interest rates before committing 5. Engage a buyer's agent with Concord market expertise for off-market opportunities
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.