Coolongolook NSW Property Investment

Mid-Coast · 2423 · Score: 55/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$758K
Rental Yield
4.0%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$580/wk
Median Unit Price
$697K
Population
382
Days on Market
28 days
Annual Growth
33.6%

Coolongolook Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$734.06/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$107K
AI Investment Analysis

Coolongolook NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Based on the data, our investment verdict for Coolongolook, NSW is to Hold, with the single most important number being the 55.0/100 investment scorecard rating. This rating suggests that while Coolongolook has some attractive features, it also has limitations that prevent it from being a top investment pick.

## 2. Market Overview The median house price in Coolongolook is approximately $758,095, although this figure is pending peer validation and should be treated with caution. The median unit price is $696,620. Over the past year, house prices have grown by 33.6%, which is a significant increase. However, the 5-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 6.8%/yr, which is more modest. The market cycle is currently cooling, which may signal a slowdown in price growth. With a vacancy rate of 3.0% and moderate rental demand, the market is relatively balanced, but buyers may have slightly more negotiating power than sellers.

## 3. Rental Market The rental market in Coolongolook is characterized by a median weekly rent of $580/wk and a gross rental yield of 4.0%. The vacancy rate is 3.0%, which is relatively stable. The demand for rentals is moderate, with an owner-occupier rate of 79%, indicating a strong presence of permanent residents. For investors, the rental market offers a relatively stable income stream, but the yield is not exceptionally high.

## 4. Short-Term Rental Opportunity The short-term rental (STR) market in Coolongolook offers a median nightly rate of $734/night, with an occupancy rate of 40%. This translates to an estimated annual revenue of approximately $134,000 (assuming 40% occupancy and $734/night). However, considering the relatively high nightly rate and moderate occupancy, long-term rentals (LTR) may still be a more stable and predictable option for investors.

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers Coolongolook lacks major infrastructure projects, which may limit its growth potential. The nearest transport hub, Taree station, is 36.4km away, which may deter some buyers and renters. The supply pipeline is low, with price growth outpacing new supply, which could support further price increases. However, the distance from the CBD and lack of infrastructure may limit long-term capital growth potential.

## 6. Bull Case If market conditions hold or improve, the bull case for Coolongolook suggests that the suburb could experience further price growth, driven by its relatively low supply pipeline and moderate rental demand. With a 3-year growth forecast of 13.5%, investors could potentially see significant capital appreciation. However, this scenario is contingent on various factors, including changes in market conditions and infrastructure development.

## 7. Risks Specific risks associated with investing in Coolongolook include a vacancy risk of 3.0%, which is relatively stable but still presents some uncertainty. The suburb's distance from the CBD (36.4km to Taree station) may limit long-term capital growth potential. The supply pipeline is low, but this also means that new developments could potentially increase supply and impact prices. Additionally, the unemployment rate of 6.3% is slightly higher than average, which may affect rental demand and property values.

## 8. The Play For investors considering Coolongolook, the entry range is approximately $696,620 (median unit price) to $758,095 (median house price). To mitigate risks, investors should target a minimum gross yield of 4.0% and monitor market conditions closely. Watch signals include changes in rental demand, infrastructure development, and shifts in the market cycle. The recommended strategy is to adopt a hold approach, focusing on long-term rental income and potential capital appreciation, rather than speculative short-term gains.

Flood risk: not on record for this suburb in the NSW LEP / state planning overlay. Order an independent flood certificate before commit. Bushfire risk: not on record for this suburb in the state planning overlay. Order an independent BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) assessment before commit. Heritage status is not on record — confirm with the council duty planner / a Section 10.7 (NSW) or equivalent certificate.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Moderate capital growth (6.8% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (2566 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
7.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
6.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
6.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.8% + 10yr CAGR 9.2%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.1%/yr)
  • +Active market (28 days avg)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (2566 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green4 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
28 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
580 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.84 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
9.16 high impact
1yr Price Growth
33.6 medium impact
Population Growth
2.15 high impact
Median Household Income
1040 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
3.1 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
211.26 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
79.3 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.98 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.48 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

414

2020

527

2021

572

2022

540

2023

513

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2423

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

3,297

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Coolongolook NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $580/wk median rent for Coolongolook. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Coolongolook PS
PrimaryGovernment
4.6/10
Bulahdelah CS
SecondaryGovernment
No data

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.