Coonabarabran NSW Property Investment

Warrumbungle · 2357 · Score: 49/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$305K
Rental Yield
6.4%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$375/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
3,477
Days on Market
111 days
Annual Growth
-7.5%

Coonabarabran Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$766/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$112K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Coonabarabran NSW Investment Brief

Coonabarabran, NSW – Suburb Investment Analysis

---

### 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the key figure is the Investment Scorecard 49 / 100 (Caution), indicating modest upside and a need to monitor the market before committing additional capital.

---

### 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $305,000 (median trust, approximate). - Median unit price: N/A – no unit data supplied. - Growth trend: N/A – no price‑change data provided. - Days on market: N/A – not supplied.

Signal: With a median house price around $305k and a cautionary scorecard, the market appears relatively affordable but lacks clear evidence of price momentum. Buyers should expect a neutral‑to‑cautious environment, while sellers may need to price competitively to attract interest.

---

### 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: N/A - Median weekly rent: N/A - Gross rental yield: N/A (cannot be calculated without rent data) - Demand rating: N/A

Implication: The absence of rental metrics prevents a definitive assessment of cash‑flow potential. Investors should treat the rental market as unknown until local rent and vacancy data become available.

---

### 4. Short‑Term Rental (STR) Opportunity - Average nightly STR rate: N/A - Occupancy rate: N/A - Estimated annual STR revenue: N/A

Conclusion: With no STR data, we cannot compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental performance. Until local STR demand and pricing are quantified, LTR remains the default strategy.

---

### 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects / transport links / employment base: N/A

Drivers/Limits: Without identified infrastructure upgrades, major transport changes, or dominant employers, demand drivers are unclear. The suburb’s growth will likely hinge on broader regional trends rather than local catalysts.

---

### 6. Bull Case If future data reveals:

  • Price appreciation of, say, 5‑7 % per annum, the median house price could rise to ~$320k–$330k within 12‑24 months.
  • Rental yields emerging at 5 %+ (e.g., $300‑$350 weekly rent), the gross yield would exceed 7 %, improving cash‑flow prospects.

These hypothetical improvements would lift the Investment Scorecard above the current 49, turning the suburb into a modest growth opportunity.

---

### 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified Concern (where data exists) | |------|----------------------------------------| | Vacancy risk | N/A – vacancy rate not supplied. | | Single‑employer dependency | N/A – no employment‑base data. | | Supply pipeline | N/A – no information on new housing developments. | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | With a median price of ~$305,000, borrowers with high loan‑to‑value ratios could see mortgage payments rise sharply if rates increase, squeezing cash flow. |

---

### 8. The Play - Entry price range: around $305,000 for houses (median trust). - Minimum yield target: Unable to set a numeric target without rent data; investors should aim for a gross yield of ≥ 5 % once rental figures become available. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of local vacancy and rent statistics. 2. Announcement of any regional infrastructure or employment projects. 3. Movement in the Investment Scorecard above the 50‑point threshold. - Recommended strategy: Maintain a Hold position while gathering missing market data. If rental yields materialise above 5 % and/or price growth accelerates, consider a buy‑and‑hold for capital growth. If the scorecard deteriorates or new supply floods the market, shift to an avoid stance.

*All statements rely solely on the data supplied; where data is absent, the analysis notes “N/A” rather than estimating figures.*

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.8/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
—Moderate development activity (26 approvals)

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
2.6%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.1%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.8%

Headwinds
  • −Population decline (-0.4%/yr) — demand headwind
  • −Slow market (111 days avg) — buyer hesitancy

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green2 yellow11 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
111 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
375 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.81 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-7.5 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.44 high impact
Median Household Income
1145 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
1.3 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
340.38 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
72.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
6.39 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
4.89 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1

2020

5

2021

5

2022

9

2023

6

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2357

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

4,069

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

2/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Coonabarabran NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $375/wk median rent for Coonabarabran. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Coonabarabran PS
PrimaryGovernment
3.1/10
Coonabarabran HS
SecondaryGovernment
4.4/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

Analyse a Property in Coonabarabran

Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Coonabarabran.

Analyse a Property →

Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.