Coonabarabran NSW Property Investment
Warrumbungle · 2357 · Score: 49/100 · Caution
Coonabarabran Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Coonabarabran NSW Investment Brief
Coonabarabran, NSW – Suburb Investment Analysis
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### 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the key figure is the Investment Scorecard 49 / 100 (Caution), indicating modest upside and a need to monitor the market before committing additional capital.
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### 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $305,000 (median trust, approximate). - Median unit price: N/A – no unit data supplied. - Growth trend: N/A – no price‑change data provided. - Days on market: N/A – not supplied.
Signal: With a median house price around $305k and a cautionary scorecard, the market appears relatively affordable but lacks clear evidence of price momentum. Buyers should expect a neutral‑to‑cautious environment, while sellers may need to price competitively to attract interest.
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### 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: N/A - Median weekly rent: N/A - Gross rental yield: N/A (cannot be calculated without rent data) - Demand rating: N/A
Implication: The absence of rental metrics prevents a definitive assessment of cash‑flow potential. Investors should treat the rental market as unknown until local rent and vacancy data become available.
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### 4. Short‑Term Rental (STR) Opportunity - Average nightly STR rate: N/A - Occupancy rate: N/A - Estimated annual STR revenue: N/A
Conclusion: With no STR data, we cannot compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental performance. Until local STR demand and pricing are quantified, LTR remains the default strategy.
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### 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects / transport links / employment base: N/A
Drivers/Limits: Without identified infrastructure upgrades, major transport changes, or dominant employers, demand drivers are unclear. The suburb’s growth will likely hinge on broader regional trends rather than local catalysts.
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### 6. Bull Case If future data reveals:
- Price appreciation of, say, 5‑7 % per annum, the median house price could rise to ~$320k–$330k within 12‑24 months.
- Rental yields emerging at 5 %+ (e.g., $300‑$350 weekly rent), the gross yield would exceed 7 %, improving cash‑flow prospects.
These hypothetical improvements would lift the Investment Scorecard above the current 49, turning the suburb into a modest growth opportunity.
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### 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified Concern (where data exists) | |------|----------------------------------------| | Vacancy risk | N/A – vacancy rate not supplied. | | Single‑employer dependency | N/A – no employment‑base data. | | Supply pipeline | N/A – no information on new housing developments. | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | With a median price of ~$305,000, borrowers with high loan‑to‑value ratios could see mortgage payments rise sharply if rates increase, squeezing cash flow. |
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### 8. The Play - Entry price range: around $305,000 for houses (median trust). - Minimum yield target: Unable to set a numeric target without rent data; investors should aim for a gross yield of ≥ 5 % once rental figures become available. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of local vacancy and rent statistics. 2. Announcement of any regional infrastructure or employment projects. 3. Movement in the Investment Scorecard above the 50‑point threshold. - Recommended strategy: Maintain a Hold position while gathering missing market data. If rental yields materialise above 5 % and/or price growth accelerates, consider a buy‑and‑hold for capital growth. If the scorecard deteriorates or new supply floods the market, shift to an avoid stance.
*All statements rely solely on the data supplied; where data is absent, the analysis notes “N/A” rather than estimating figures.*
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.8%
- −Population decline (-0.4%/yr) — demand headwind
- −Slow market (111 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
1
2020
5
2021
5
2022
9
2023
6
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2357
Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
4,069
Education (IEO)
4/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
2/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Coonabarabran NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $375/wk median rent for Coonabarabran. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.