Doonside NSW Property Investment

Blacktown · 2767 · Score: 66/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.12M
Rental Yield
2.9%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$630/wk
Median Unit Price
$883K
Population
13,614
Days on Market
42 days
Annual Growth
8.6%
AI Investment Analysis

Doonside NSW Investment Brief

BUY$1,115,883 median with 11.0%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Doonside has compounded at 11.0%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $662,222 in 2021 is worth $1,115,883 today. Properties are sitting on market for 42 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,880,328 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,115,883 | Units: $883,199
  • Gross yield: 2.9% | Net yield: 1.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 11.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 13,614 | Owner-occupier rate: 62% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $630/wk | Days on market: 42 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Parramatta Light Rail Stage 2 (Under Procurement)
  • Parramatta Light Rail Stage 1 (Operational)
  • Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
  • Western Sydney International (Nancy-Bird Walton) Airport (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Doonside station 0.1km away

BULL CASE

If Doonside maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $1,283,265 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Doonside pull back 10-15% from $1,115,883, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Mororo (NSW): $1,129,766 median, 1.8% yield, 11.3% 1yr growth
  • Bidwill (NSW): $907,382 median, 3.0% yield, 7.6% 1yr growth
  • Dharruk (NSW): $902,029 median, 3.2% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Doonside presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.9% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,004,295$1,227,471
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Active gentrification6.5/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Strong capital growth (11.0% CAGR) — above national average
Outer suburban location (33.5km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Mixed tenure (35% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (23731 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
11.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
10.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
9.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 11.0% + 10yr CAGR 12.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (23731 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green6 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
42 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
630 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
10.98 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
12.79 high impact
1yr Price Growth
8.6 medium impact
Population Growth
0.75 high impact
Median Household Income
2004 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
54 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
33.47 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
5 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
62 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.94 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.44 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,430

2020

6,762

2021

5,751

2022

4,300

2023

2,488

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2767

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

23,384

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Doonside NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $630/wk median rent for Doonside. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Doonside PS
PrimaryGovernment
4.4/10
Doonside Technology HS
SecondaryGovernment
4.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.