Dorrigo NSW Property Investment

Coffs Harbour · 2453 · Score: 48/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$608K
Rental Yield
3.8%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$440/wk
Median Unit Price
$412K
Population
1,214
Days on Market
94 days
Annual Growth
6.5%

Dorrigo Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$256/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$61K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Dorrigo NSW Investment Brief

CAUTION — 3.8% gross yield on a $607,960 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Dorrigo has compounded at 5.3%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $607,960 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 94 days (buyers have negotiating room).

  • Median house: $607,960 (pending peer validation) | Units: $411,526
  • Gross yield: 3.8% | Net yield: 2.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 5.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 1,214 | Owner-occupier rate: 76% | Affluence: Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $440/wk | Days on market: 94 (worsening)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Dorrigo station 0.9km away

BULL CASE

If Dorrigo maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $699,154 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Dorrigo pull back 10-15% from $607,960, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Smithtown (NSW): $518,420 median, 3.5% yield, -4.3% 1yr growth
  • Weston (NSW): $710,728 median, 4.0% yield, 11.4% 1yr growth
  • Skillion Flat (NSW): $713,000 median, 3.5% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Dorrigo carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A stable market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $547,164 – $668,756
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
—Moderate capital growth (5.3% CAGR)
▲Active development pipeline (1890 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
4.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 5.3% + 10yr CAGR 5.5%

Headwinds
  • −Slow market (94 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (1890 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green6 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
94 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
440 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
5.29 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.55 high impact
1yr Price Growth
6.5 medium impact
Population Growth
0.14 high impact
Median Household Income
965 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
1.3 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
417.96 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
75.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.76 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.26 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

316

2020

491

2021

466

2022

269

2023

348

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2453

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 4 of 10 — Average

Population

2,787

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Dorrigo NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $440/wk median rent for Dorrigo. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Dorrigo PS
PrimaryGovernment
4.7/10
Dorrigo HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.4/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.