East Kurrajong Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
East Kurrajong NSW Investment Analysis
HOLD
— 3.5% gross yield on a $1,800,000 median.
THE MARKET
East Kurrajong recorded 1.6% annual price growth over the past 5 years — a $1,800,000 house bought in 2019 would be worth approximately $1,662,662 today. Properties are sitting on the market for 30 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- **Median house:** $1,800,000 | **Units:** $0 - **Gross yield:** 3.5% | **Net yield:** 2.0% - **Vacancy:** 3.0% (stable) | **Rental demand:** Moderate - **5yr price growth:** 1.6%/yr | **3yr forecast:** 1.8%/yr - **Days on market:** 30 (stable)
STR potential: $195/night at 68% occupancy = ~$48,399/yr gross. Long-term at $0/yr may be simpler with comparable returns.
BULL CASE
If East Kurrajong maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $2,070,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
Notable infrastructure: **Putty Road Maintenance Program** (under construction). Plus 1 more project in the pipeline.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in East Kurrajong pull back 10-15% from $1,800,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
WHAT TO DO
East Kurrajong offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a growth phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $1,620,000 – $1,980,000 - Minimum yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on East Kurrajong NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.