Elderslie NSW Property Investment

Maitland · 2335 · Score: 61/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.19M
Rental Yield
3.1%
Vacancy Rate
2.3%
Median Weekly Rent
$700/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
8,124
Days on Market
41 days
Annual Growth
5.7%

Elderslie Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$573/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$84K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Elderslie NSW Investment Brief

HOLD — 3.1% gross yield on a $1,185,250 median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Elderslie sits at $1,185,250 with 41 days on market and a 2.3% vacancy rate. This is a balanced market right now.

  • Median house: $1,185,250 | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 3.1% | Net yield: 1.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: -8.1%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 8,124 | Owner-occupier rate: 74% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.3% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $700/wk | Days on market: 41 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $573/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$83,667/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $36,400/yr (+130% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Wondabyne station 28.3km away

BULL CASE

If Elderslie maintains 6%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.6%, median prices could reach $1,363,038 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Elderslie pull back 10-15% from $1,185,250, with vacancy rising to 4.1% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Merrylands (NSW): $1,393,157 median, 2.8% yield, -0.9% 1yr growth
  • Guildford West (NSW): $1,243,404 median, 3.4% yield, 8.8% 1yr growth
  • Georges Hall (NSW): $1,400,285 median, 3.4% yield, 7.7% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Elderslie offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $1,066,725 – $1,303,775
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Stable / established1.5/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
▲Active development pipeline (5598 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
3.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.

Basis: 1yr growth 5.7% (heavily discounted — volatile)

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (5.7%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.3%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (5598 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green4 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.3 high impact
Days on Market
41 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
700 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-8.06 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
-1.87 high impact
1yr Price Growth
5.7 medium impact
Population Growth
5.7 high impact
Median Household Income
2207 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
63.33 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
7 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
74.4 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.07 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.57 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,245

2020

1,281

2021

1,023

2022

766

2023

1,283

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2335

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

8,124

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Elderslie NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $700/wk median rent for Elderslie. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Macdonald Valley PS
PrimaryGovernment
6.1/10
Galston HS
SecondaryGovernment
6.9/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.