Eureka NSW Property Investment

Ballina · 2480 · Score: 49/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$1.95M
Rental Yield
1.6%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$600/wk
Median Unit Price
$624K
Population
353
Days on Market
290 days
Annual Growth
-3.1%

Eureka Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$524/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$124K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Eureka NSW Investment Brief

CAUTION — 1.6% gross yield on a $1,946,997 median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Eureka sits at $1,946,997 with 290 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.

  • Median house: $1,946,997 | Units: $624,383
  • Gross yield: 1.6% | Net yield: 0.1%
  • 5yr price CAGR: -7.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 6.0%/yr
  • Population: 353 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $600/wk | Days on market: 290 (worsening)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Eureka maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $2,239,047 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Eureka pull back 10-15% from $1,946,997, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Georges Hall (NSW): $1,400,285 median, 3.4% yield, 7.7% 1yr growth
  • Barrack Point (NSW): $1,671,610 median, 2.6% yield, 1.8% 1yr growth
  • Bankstown (NSW): $1,504,986 median, 2.8% yield, 10.7% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Eureka carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A recovery market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $1,752,297 – $2,141,697
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
▲Active development pipeline (1596 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
1.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
1.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
1.4%
p.a.

Basis: National long-run average (no local data)

Headwinds
  • −Slow market (290 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (1596 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green6 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
290 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
600 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-7.6 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.46 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-3.1 medium impact
Population Growth
0.59 high impact
Median Household Income
1326 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
2.1 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
613.17 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
69.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.6 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.1 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

433

2020

361

2021

270

2022

310

2023

222

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2480

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 4 of 10 — Average

Population

45,938

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Eureka NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $600/wk median rent for Eureka. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Eureka PS
PrimaryGovernment
7.7/10
Byron Bay HS
SecondaryGovernment
7.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.