Five Dock NSW Property Investment

Canada Bay · 2046 · Score: 69/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$2.76M
Rental Yield
2.3%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1200/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.17M
Population
9,823
Days on Market
44 days
Annual Growth
-0.5%
AI Investment Analysis

Five Dock NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the Investment Scorecard rates Five Dock 69.0 / 100, the highest single figure that justifies the recommendation.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $2,757,105 (sole source – OnTheHouse, not peer‑validated). - Growth trend: not supplied in the data set. - Days on market: not supplied.

*Interpretation* – A median price in the high‑$2 million range signals a premium market. In the absence of growth or DOM data, the high median suggests that sellers may currently hold a pricing advantage, while buyers will need strong cash flow or capital‑growth expectations to justify entry.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not supplied. - Weekly rent: not supplied. - Gross yield: cannot be calculated without rent data. - Demand rating: not supplied.

*Interpretation* – With no rental metrics available, investors cannot assess cash‑flow performance or tenant demand. Obtaining current vacancy and rent figures is essential before committing capital.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: not supplied. - Occupancy: not supplied. - Estimated annual revenue: cannot be estimated.

*Interpretation* – The data set provides no insight into short‑term rental economics, so a comparison between long‑term rental (LTR) and STR cannot be made. Further market research is required to determine which model, if any, adds value in Five Dock.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: not supplied.

*Interpretation* – Without specific information on upcoming developments, transport upgrades, or major employers, we cannot identify concrete demand drivers or constraints. Generally, suburbs close to the Sydney CBD (Five Dock sits within 5 km) benefit from strong employment access and transport connectivity, but the impact on Five Dock specifically must be verified with local data.

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## 6. Bull Case If the suburb maintains its premium positioning and experiences any price appreciation, the high median of ≈ $2.76 million means that even modest growth would translate into substantial equity gains for owners. The upside therefore hinges on:

  • Continued demand for high‑value homes in inner‑west Sydney.
  • Limited new supply that keeps the market tight.

Quantifying the upside requires actual growth rates, which are not provided.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | What the data (or lack thereof) tells us | |------|------------------------------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy figure is available; a sudden rise could erode cash flow. | | Single‑employer dependency | Employment data is missing, so any reliance on a dominant local employer cannot be assessed. | | Supply pipeline | No information on upcoming housing projects; a surge in new units could pressure prices and rents. | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | High median price implies large loan amounts; rising rates would increase servicing costs and could dampen buyer appetite. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: likely at or above the median of ≈ $2,757,105 (sole source). - Minimum yield target: cannot be set until weekly rent and vacancy data are obtained; investors should aim for a yield that comfortably exceeds their cost of capital. - Watch signals: 1. Release of validated median price data (peer‑reviewed). 2. Publication of local vacancy and rent statistics. 3. Announcements of new infrastructure or large‑scale developments in the suburb. - Recommended strategy: 1. Secure up‑to‑date rental and vacancy figures from a reliable source (e.g., CoreLogic, SQM). 2. Compare the required yield against financing costs to confirm cash‑flow viability. 3. If the yield meets or exceeds the investor’s hurdle rate and the market shows limited new supply, proceed with a purchase near the median price. 4. In the interim, monitor interest‑rate movements and any forthcoming infrastructure projects that could shift demand.

*Bottom line:* Five Dock scores a Buy on the Investment Scorecard, but the paucity of rental, growth and infrastructure data means investors must obtain those missing metrics before finalising an acquisition.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Above-average capital growth (9.6% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (7.4km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (3159 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
8.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
7.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
6.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 9.6% + 10yr CAGR 7.5%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (3159 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green3 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
44 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1200 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
9.62 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
7.49 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-0.5 medium impact
Population Growth
0.35 high impact
Median Household Income
2393 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
8.2 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
7.36 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
64.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.26 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.76 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

629

2020

313

2021

288

2022

762

2023

1,167

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2046

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

27,288

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

8/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Five Dock NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1200/wk median rent for Five Dock. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Five Dock PS
PrimaryGovernment
7.7/10
Burwood GHS
SecondaryGovernment
8/10
Concord HS
SecondaryGovernment
7.4/10
Ashfield BHS
SecondaryGovernment
7.3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.