Girilambone NSW Property Investment

Brewarrina · 2831 · Score: 52/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$250K
Rental Yield
7.9%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$380/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
86
Days on Market
49 days
Annual Growth
36.4%
AI Investment Analysis

Girilambone NSW Investment Brief

HOLD7.9% gross yield on a $250,000 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Girilambone sits at $250,000 (pending peer validation) with 49 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.

  • Median house: $250,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 7.9% | Net yield: 6.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: -42.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: -38.2%/yr
  • Population: 86 | Owner-occupier rate: 78% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (worsening) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $380/wk | Days on market: 49 (worsening)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Girilambone maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $287,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Girilambone pull back 10-15% from $250,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Negative price growth suggests a softening market
  • - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Lightning Ridge (NSW): $197,043 median, 7.9% yield, 40.4% 1yr growth
  • Barmedman (NSW): $315,380 median, 3.1% yield, 8.0% 1yr growth
  • Peak Hill (NSW): $207,138 median, 8.0% yield, 33.3% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Girilambone offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 8.4%.

  • Entry range: $225,000$275,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 8.2%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Stable / established1.0/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
14.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
13.1%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
11.4%
p.a.

Basis: 1yr growth 36.4% (heavily discounted — volatile)

Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.8%/yr) — demand headwind

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green4 yellow7 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
49 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
380 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-42.47 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.3 high impact
1yr Price Growth
36.4 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.78 high impact
Median Household Income
1528 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
494.46 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
78.3 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
7.9 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
6.4 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

0

2020

0

2021

4

2022

5

2023

3

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2831

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

1,845

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

8/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Girilambone NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $380/wk median rent for Girilambone. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Girilambone PS
PrimaryGovernment
4.6/10
Nyngan HS
SecondaryGovernment
3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.