Grays Point NSW Property Investment

Sutherland · 2232 · Score: 70/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.71M
Rental Yield
3.0%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1175/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.41M
Population
3,034
Days on Market
42 days
Annual Growth
-4.4%
AI Investment Analysis

Grays Point NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the Investment Scorecard of 70.0 / 100 is the single figure that drives the recommendation.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $900,000 – $1,500,000 (peer sources disagree by >10%; use the full range). - Growth trend: *Data not supplied.* - Days on market: *Data not supplied.*

Signal: The wide median‑price range signals uncertainty in valuation, which can create buying opportunities for investors who can negotiate below the upper bound. Sellers who can command prices toward the top of the range stand to benefit.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: *Data not supplied.* - Weekly rent: *Data not supplied.* - Gross yield: *Data not supplied.* - Demand rating: *Data not supplied.*

Implication: Without rental metrics we cannot quantify yield or demand, so investors should obtain current vacancy and rent figures before committing to a rental strategy.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *Data not supplied.* - Occupancy: *Data not supplied.* - Estimated annual revenue: *Data not supplied.*

Conclusion: In the absence of STR data, we cannot compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental (STR) profitability. A local STR market scan is required to decide which model suits the property.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects: *Data not supplied.* - Transport links: *Data not supplied.* - Employment base: *Data not supplied.*

Drivers/Limits: With no infrastructure or employment information provided, we cannot identify specific demand catalysts or constraints. Prospective buyers should verify any upcoming transport upgrades or major employer activity in the area.

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## 6. Bull Case If the suburb attracts new infrastructure, improves transport connectivity, or experiences a surge in buyer demand, the median house price could move toward the upper end of the $900,000 – $1,500,000 range. A shift of even 10 % toward the top end would add roughly $90,000 to a $900,000 property value.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified Concern | |------|--------------------| | Price‑range volatility | The $600,000 spread between the low and high median ($900,000 – $1,500,000) shows high valuation uncertainty, making the suburb sensitive to interest‑rate changes. | | Vacancy risk | *No vacancy data supplied* – investors must confirm current vacancy levels before relying on rental income. | | Supply pipeline | *No data on new dwellings* – an unexpected influx of new homes could pressure prices and yields. | | Employer concentration | *No employment data* – if the local job market is dominated by a single large employer, any downsizing could affect demand. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry price range: Target purchases below $1,000,000 to build a margin of safety within the median range. - Minimum yield target: Aim for a gross rental yield of ≥5 % (once weekly rent data is obtained). - Watch signals: 1. Any announced transport upgrades or new schools in Grays Point. 2. Movement of the median price toward the upper bound of the $900,000 – $1,500,000 range. 3. Updated vacancy and rent figures that push yields above the 5 % threshold.

Recommended strategy: Acquire a property priced in the lower third of the median range, verify current rental returns, and monitor infrastructure announcements. If yields meet the 5 % target and the suburb shows signs of demand growth, hold for capital appreciation; otherwise, consider repositioning to a higher‑yielding market.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
▲Above-average capital growth (8.4% CAGR)
—Outer suburban location (24.1km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
▲Active development pipeline (5667 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
7.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
6.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
5.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 8.4% + 10yr CAGR 6.9%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (5667 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green4 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
42 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1175 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
8.4 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
6.86 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-4.4 medium impact
Population Growth
1.44 high impact
Median Household Income
2157 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.4 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
24.14 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
69.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.04 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.54 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,113

2020

1,488

2021

1,323

2022

998

2023

745

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2232

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

35,304

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

8/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Grays Point NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1175/wk median rent for Grays Point. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Grays Pt PS
PrimaryGovernment
8.1/10
Kirrawee HS
SecondaryGovernment
7.6/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.