Greenacre NSW Property Investment
Strathfield · 2190 · Score: 61/100 · Hold
Greenacre Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Greenacre NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — 3.3% gross yield on a $1,515,846 median.
THE MARKET
Greenacre has compounded at 4.9%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,193,377 in 2021 is worth $1,515,846 today. Properties are sitting on market for 26 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,925,451 by 2031.
- Median house: $1,515,846 | Units: $809,773
- Gross yield: 3.3% | Net yield: 1.8%
- 5yr price CAGR: 4.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 26,314 | Owner-occupier rate: 63% | Affluence: Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $950/wk | Days on market: 26 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $457/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$66,677/yr
- vs long-term rent: $49,400/yr (+35% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- WestConnex Motorway (Operational)
- Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
- Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
- Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
- Transport: Wiley Park station 1.7km away
BULL CASE
If Greenacre maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $1,743,223 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Greenacre pull back 10-15% from $1,515,846, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Cabramatta West (NSW): $1,231,328 median, 2.9% yield, 7.8% 1yr growth
- Guildford West (NSW): $1,243,404 median, 3.4% yield, 8.8% 1yr growth
- Lansvale (NSW): $1,153,058 median, 3.4% yield, 11.3% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Greenacre offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $1,364,261 – $1,667,431
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 4.9% + 10yr CAGR 6.4%
- +Above-average population growth (1.5%/yr)
- +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
- +Active market (26 days avg)
- +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
- −High supply pipeline (998 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
28
2020
552
2021
103
2022
95
2023
220
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2190
Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
27,559
Education (IEO)
7/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
3/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Greenacre NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $950/wk median rent for Greenacre. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Greenacre
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.