Gundagai NSW Property Investment

Snowy Valleys · 2722 · Score: 53/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$463K
Rental Yield
5.1%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$455/wk
Median Unit Price
$405K
Population
1,699
Days on Market
163 days
Annual Growth
12.8%

Gundagai Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$521/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$76K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Gundagai NSW Investment Brief

HOLD — 5.1% gross yield on a $462,536 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Gundagai has compounded at 4.8%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $462,536 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 163 days (buyers have negotiating room).

  • Median house: $462,536 (pending peer validation) | Units: $405,220
  • Gross yield: 5.1% | Net yield: 3.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 1,699 | Owner-occupier rate: 72% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $455/wk | Days on market: 163 (worsening)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $521/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$76,084/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $23,660/yr (+222% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • HumeLink Transmission Line (Under Procurement)
  • Transport: Cootamundra station 46.7km away

BULL CASE

If Gundagai maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $531,916 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Gundagai pull back 10-15% from $462,536, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Clandulla (NSW): $467,500 median, 4.0% yield, -11.6% 1yr growth
  • Bungawalbin (NSW): $580,000 median, 3.6% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Myrtle Creek (NSW): $540,000 median, 3.9% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Gundagai offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a above_trend phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 5.6%.

  • Entry range: $416,282 – $508,790
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 5.4%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
—Moderate capital growth (4.8% CAGR)
▲Active development pipeline (225 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
3.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.1%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.7%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.8% + 10yr CAGR 4.3%

Headwinds
  • −Slow market (163 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (225 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green8 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
163 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
455 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.76 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.31 high impact
1yr Price Growth
12.8 medium impact
Population Growth
1.28 high impact
Median Household Income
1327 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
1.3 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
313.98 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
71.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.12 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.62 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

41

2020

60

2021

50

2022

48

2023

26

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2722

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

3,418

Education (IEO)

3/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Gundagai NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $455/wk median rent for Gundagai. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Gundagai PS
PrimaryGovernment
4.7/10
Gundagai HS
SecondaryGovernment
4.5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.