Kemps Creek NSW Property Investment

Fairfield · 2178 · Score: 59/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$3.05M
Rental Yield
1.2%
Vacancy Rate
1.7%
Median Weekly Rent
$730/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.24M
Population
2,121
Days on Market
92 days
Annual Growth
-29.4%

Kemps Creek Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$434.38/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$63K
AI Investment Analysis

Kemps Creek NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the single most important figure is the median house price of approximately $3,050,989 (pending peer validation). The high, un‑verified median suggests caution rather than a clear buying opportunity.

## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: around $3,050,989 (not yet cross‑validated). - Growth trend: no data supplied. - Days on market: no data supplied.

Because the only concrete market metric is an un‑verified median price, we cannot identify a definitive price‑trend or speed of sales. The uncertainty around the median signals that buyers should negotiate carefully, while sellers may need to manage expectations about price levels.

## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: no data supplied. - Weekly rent: no data supplied. - Gross yield: cannot be calculated without rent and price data. - Demand rating: no data supplied.

With no rental statistics available, we cannot quantify the income potential or demand pressure for investors in Kemps Creek at this time.

## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: no data supplied. - Occupancy: no data supplied. - Estimated annual revenue: cannot be estimated.

Given the lack of short‑term rental metrics, we cannot determine whether a long‑term rental (LTR) or short‑term rental (STR) strategy would be superior.

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: no data supplied.

Without information on infrastructure or employment drivers, we cannot assess what is currently fueling or limiting demand in the suburb.

## 6. Bull Case If future data validates the median house price at around $3,050,989 and reveals strong infrastructure or employment growth, the suburb could experience capital appreciation and improved rental yields. Specific upside numbers cannot be modelled until those data points become available.

## 7. Risks - Vacancy risk: cannot be quantified without vacancy data. - Single‑employer dependency: no employment data to assess concentration risk. - Supply pipeline: unknown without information on new developments. - Rate sensitivity: a median price near $3 million makes the market highly sensitive to interest‑rate movements; any rate rise could suppress buyer capacity.

## 8. The Play - Entry range: around $3,050,989 (subject to peer validation). - Minimum yield to target: cannot be set without rental income data. - Watch signals: 1. Peer‑validated median price. 2. Release of rental‑market statistics (vacancy, rent, yield). 3. Announcement of infrastructure or employment projects in the area. - Recommended strategy: Maintain a Hold stance. Monitor the above signals closely; only consider entry or exit once reliable price, rental, and growth data emerge.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (6.2% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (5081 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
4.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.2% + 10yr CAGR 6.4%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.7%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.3%/yr) — demand headwind
  • Slow market (92 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • High supply pipeline (5081 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green2 yellow7 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.7 high impact
Days on Market
92 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
730 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.21 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
6.36 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-29.4 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.29 high impact
Median Household Income
2214 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
2.1 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
37.92 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
7 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
74.3 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.24 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
-0.26 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

860

2020

966

2021

1,130

2022

1,257

2023

868

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2178

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

4,170

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Kemps Creek NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $730/wk median rent for Kemps Creek. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Kemps Ck PS
PrimaryGovernment
5.1/10
Cecil Hills HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.