Koraleigh Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Koraleigh NSW Investment Analysis
HOLD
— 3.5% gross yield on a $345,000 median.
THE MARKET
Koraleigh has compounded at 1.6%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $318,677 in 2021 is worth $345,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 30 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $373,497 by 2031.
- **Median house:** $345,000 | **Units:** $0 - **Gross yield:** 3.5% | **Net yield:** 2.0% - **5yr price CAGR:** 1.6%/yr | **3yr forecast:** 1.8%/yr
- **Supply pipeline:** Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- **Vacancy:** 3.0% (stable) | **Rental demand:** Moderate - **Median weekly rent:** $0/wk | **Days on market:** 30 (stable) - Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- **Median nightly rate:** $195/night | **Occupancy:** 68% - **Estimated annual STR gross:** ~$48,399/yr - **vs long-term rent:** $0/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record. - **Transport:** Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Koraleigh maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $396,750 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Koraleigh pull back 10-15% from $345,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- **Ashford** (NSW): $268,000 median, 0.0% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth - **Adjungbilly** (NSW): $420,000 median, 0.0% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth - **Alectown** (NSW): $410,000 median, 0.0% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Koraleigh offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a growth phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $310,500 – $379,500 - Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.