La Perouse NSW Property Investment

Bayside (NSW) · 2036 · Score: 70/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$2.22M
Rental Yield
2.8%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1200/wk
Median Unit Price
$2.00M
Population
366
Days on Market
77 days
Annual Growth
-29.3%

La Perouse Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$479.62/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$70K
AI Investment Analysis

La Perouse NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the Investment Scorecard of 70.0 / 100 is the key figure that drives the recommendation.

## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $2,218,855 (sole source – OnTheHouse, not peer‑validated). - Growth trend: not supplied in the data set. - Days on market: not supplied in the data set.

*Signal:* With a high median price from a single source, the market appears premium. In the absence of growth or DOM data, buyers should treat the price as a strong baseline and be prepared for limited price flexibility, while sellers can position their listings at the top end of the range.

## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not supplied. - Weekly rent: not supplied. - Gross yield: not supplied. - Demand rating: not supplied.

*Implication:* Without rental metrics we cannot calculate yield or assess demand. Investors should obtain current rental data before committing to a long‑term rental strategy.

## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: not supplied. - Occupancy: not supplied. - Estimated annual revenue: not supplied.

*Implication:* Lacking STR figures, we cannot compare long‑term versus short‑term returns. Prospective investors should conduct a separate STR market scan to determine viability.

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport, employment base: not supplied.

*Implication:* No explicit drivers or constraints are identified in the provided data. Investors should verify any upcoming infrastructure or employment developments that could affect demand.

## 6. Bull Case If the premium median price of ≈ $2,218,855 holds and the suburb experiences capital growth, a plausible upside could be a 5‑10 % price increase over the next 12‑24 months, pushing the median toward $2.33 m‑$2.44 m. Without rental or yield data, we cannot quantify income upside.

## 7. Risks - Vacancy risk: cannot be quantified (no vacancy data). - Single‑employer dependency: cannot assess (no employment data). - Supply pipeline: unknown (no development data). - Rate sensitivity: high median price means interest‑rate hikes could strain buyer affordability and impact resale values.

## 8. The Play - Entry range: target properties around the sole‑source median of ≈ $2,218,855. - Minimum yield to target: cannot be set until rental figures are sourced. - Watch signals: emergence of peer‑validated median data, any announced infrastructure projects, changes in interest rates, and updated rental market statistics. - Recommended strategy: acquire at or below the median price, hold for capital appreciation, and simultaneously gather reliable rental and STR data to decide whether to pursue long‑term or short‑term leasing once the income side of the equation is clarified.

*Bottom line:* The strong Investment Scorecard and high median price justify a Buy stance, but the absence of rental, growth and infrastructure data means investors must conduct further due‑diligence before finalising purchase terms.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Above-average capital growth (7.4% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (13.5km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Mixed tenure (42% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (4611 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
7.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
6.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
5.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 7.4% + 10yr CAGR 8.4%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.1%/yr)
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • Slow market (77 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • High supply pipeline (4611 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green2 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
77 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1200 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
7.44 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
8.45 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-29.3 medium impact
Population Growth
2.12 high impact
Median Household Income
2050 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
50 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
13.51 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
55.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.81 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.31 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

472

2020

1,069

2021

739

2022

804

2023

1,527

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2036

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

33,767

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on La Perouse NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1200/wk median rent for La Perouse. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

La Perouse PS
PrimaryGovernment
4.4/10
Matraville Sp HS
SecondaryGovernment
4.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.