Mascot Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Mascot NSW Investment Analysis
HOLD
— 2.7% gross yield on a $1,900,000 median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Mascot sits at $1,900,000 with 41 days on market and a 0.4% vacancy rate. This is a tight rental market right now.
- **Median house:** $1,900,000 | **Units:** $1,246,732 - **Gross yield:** 2.7% | **Net yield:** 1.2% - **Vacancy:** 0.4% (worsening) | **Rental demand:** Very High - **5yr price growth:** -1.9%/yr | **3yr forecast:** -2.2%/yr - **Days on market:** 41 (stable)
STR potential: $195/night at 68% occupancy = ~$48,399/yr gross. Long-term at $52,000/yr may be simpler with comparable returns.
BULL CASE
If Mascot maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $2,185,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
Notable infrastructure: **Mascot Redevelopment Project** (under construction). Plus 3 more projects in the pipeline.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Mascot pull back 10-15% from $1,900,000, with vacancy rising to 0.7% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
WHAT TO DO
Mascot offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a correction phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $1,710,000 – $2,090,000 - Minimum yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.