Mascot NSW Property Investment
Randwick · 2020 · Score: 77/100 · Buy
Mascot Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Mascot NSW Investment Brief
BUY — 3.0% gross yield on a $1,907,153 median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Mascot sits at $1,907,153 with 46 days on market and a 1.6% vacancy rate. This is a tight rental market right now.
- Median house: $1,907,153 | Units: $888,127
- Gross yield: 3.0% | Net yield: 1.5%
- 5yr price CAGR: -0.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.3%/yr
- Population: 21,591 | Owner-occupier rate: 41% | Affluence: Very High
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $1,100/wk | Days on market: 46 (worsening)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $522/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$76,176/yr
- vs long-term rent: $57,200/yr (+33% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
- Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
- New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
- Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
- Transport: Well-connected inner-city location
BULL CASE
If Mascot maintains 8%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $2,193,226 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Mascot pull back 10-15% from $1,907,153, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Campsie (NSW): $1,755,686 median, 2.5% yield, 1.5% 1yr growth
- Clyde (NSW): $1,387,927 median, 2.5% yield, 13.8% 1yr growth
- Georges Hall (NSW): $1,400,285 median, 3.4% yield, 7.7% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Mascot presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.0% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $1,716,438 – $2,097,868
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
medium confidenceBasis: 3yr growth 2.9% (discounted)
- +Strong population growth (7.9%/yr) driving demand
- +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
- +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
- −High supply pipeline (1676 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
336
2020
289
2021
318
2022
482
2023
251
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2020
Decile 7 of 10 — Average
Population
21,591
Education (IEO)
9/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
2/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Mascot NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $1100/wk median rent for Mascot. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Mascot
Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Mascot.
Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.