Mullumbimby NSW Property Investment
Byron · 2482 · Score: 61/100 · Hold
Mullumbimby Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Mullumbimby NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — $1,145,018 median with 15.2%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Mullumbimby has compounded at 15.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $564,352 in 2021 is worth $1,145,018 today. Properties are sitting on market for 88 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $2,323,136 by 2031.
- Median house: $1,145,018 | Units: $786,920
- Gross yield: 4.6% | Net yield: 3.1%
- 5yr price CAGR: 15.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 0.4%/yr
- Population: 4,180 | Owner-occupier rate: 69% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $1,008/wk | Days on market: 88 (worsening)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Mullumbimby maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,316,771 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Mullumbimby pull back 10-15% from $1,145,018, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Bidwill (NSW): $893,265 median, 3.0% yield, 7.6% 1yr growth
- Dharruk (NSW): $893,474 median, 3.2% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
- Tregear (NSW): $881,536 median, 3.0% yield, 11.4% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Mullumbimby offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a above_trend phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 5.1%.
- Entry range: $1,030,516 – $1,259,520
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.9%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 15.2% + 10yr CAGR 12.6%
- +Above-average population growth (2.1%/yr)
- −Slow market (88 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
- −High supply pipeline (1198 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
302
2020
278
2021
208
2022
184
2023
226
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2482
Decile 5 of 10 — Average
Population
6,967
Education (IEO)
8/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
5/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Mullumbimby NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $1008/wk median rent for Mullumbimby. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Mullumbimby
Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Mullumbimby.
Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.