Murrumbateman NSW Property Investment
Hilltops · 2582 · Score: 60/100 · Hold
Murrumbateman Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Murrumbateman NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — 3.3% gross yield on a $1,384,157 median.
THE MARKET
Murrumbateman has compounded at 4.5%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,110,718 in 2021 is worth $1,384,157 today. Properties are sitting on market for 120 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,724,911 by 2031.
- Median house: $1,384,157 | Units: $622,879
- Gross yield: 3.3% | Net yield: 1.8%
- 5yr price CAGR: 4.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 3,607 | Owner-occupier rate: 80% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $880/wk | Days on market: 120 (worsening)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $573/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$83,603/yr
- vs long-term rent: $45,760/yr (+83% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Murrumbateman maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,591,781 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Murrumbateman pull back 10-15% from $1,384,157, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Mount Druitt (NSW): $1,116,863 median, 2.9% yield, 22.1% 1yr growth
- Barrack Point (NSW): $1,671,610 median, 2.6% yield, 1.8% 1yr growth
- St Marys (NSW): $1,103,953 median, 2.7% yield, 28.6% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Murrumbateman offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $1,245,741 – $1,522,573
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 4.5% + 10yr CAGR 4.8%
- +Above-average population growth (1.9%/yr)
- −Slow market (120 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
- −High supply pipeline (203 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
19
2020
33
2021
45
2022
51
2023
55
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2582
Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
13,693
Education (IEO)
8/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
10/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Murrumbateman NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $880/wk median rent for Murrumbateman. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.