Narrandera NSW Property Investment

Leeton · 2700 · Score: 48/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$367K
Rental Yield
5.9%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$420/wk
Median Unit Price
$321K
Population
4,369
Days on Market
28 days
Annual Growth
1.5%

Narrandera Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$547/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$80K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Narrandera NSW Investment Brief

CAUTION — 5.9% gross yield on a $367,418 median.

THE MARKET

Narrandera has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $313,879 in 2021 is worth $367,418 today. Properties are sitting on market for 28 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $430,090 by 2031.

  • Median house: $367,418 | Units: $321,027
  • Gross yield: 5.9% | Net yield: 4.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 4,369 | Owner-occupier rate: 69% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $420/wk | Days on market: 28 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $547/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$79,844/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $21,840/yr (+266% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Narrandera maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $422,531 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Narrandera pull back 10-15% from $367,418, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Dareton (NSW): $340,007 median, 5.3% yield, -8.0% 1yr growth
  • Clandulla (NSW): $467,500 median, 4.0% yield, -11.6% 1yr growth
  • Tabulam (NSW): $462,736 median, 4.5% yield, -17.2% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Narrandera carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A cooling market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $330,676 – $404,160
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 6.2%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
▲Active development pipeline (127 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
2.4%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
1.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Active market (28 days avg)
Headwinds
  • −Population decline (-0.2%/yr) — demand headwind
  • −High supply pipeline (127 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green5 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
28 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
420 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.32 high impact
1yr Price Growth
1.5 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.2 high impact
Median Household Income
1164 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
3.8 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
438.02 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
69.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.94 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
4.44 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

22

2020

27

2021

28

2022

26

2023

24

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2700

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

4,873

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

2/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Narrandera NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $420/wk median rent for Narrandera. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Narrandera PS
PrimaryGovernment
3.2/10
Narrandera HS
SecondaryGovernment
3.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.