Newrybar NSW Property Investment
Ballina · 2479 · Score: 70/100 · Buy
Newrybar Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Newrybar NSW Investment Brief
BUY — $1,975,163 median with 44.8%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Newrybar has compounded at 44.8%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $310,285 in 2021 is worth $1,975,163 today. Properties are sitting on market for 52 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $12,573,198 by 2031.
- Median house: $1,975,163 | Units: $900,535
- Gross yield: 3.7% | Net yield: 2.2%
- 5yr price CAGR: 44.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 0.1%/yr
- Population: 532 | Owner-occupier rate: 72% | Affluence: Very High
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $1,400/wk | Days on market: 52 (worsening)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Newrybar maintains 4%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $2,271,437 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Newrybar pull back 10-15% from $1,975,163, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Barrack Point (NSW): $1,673,441 median, 2.6% yield, 1.8% 1yr growth
- Campsie (NSW): $1,782,045 median, 2.4% yield, 1.5% 1yr growth
- Lakemba (NSW): $1,413,551 median, 2.9% yield, 18.9% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Newrybar presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and moderate rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.7% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current boom phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $1,777,647 – $2,172,679
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 44.8% + 10yr CAGR 26.0%
- +Strong population growth (4.1%/yr) driving demand
- −High supply pipeline (1596 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
433
2020
361
2021
270
2022
310
2023
222
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2479
Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
5,780
Education (IEO)
9/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
9/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Newrybar NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $1400/wk median rent for Newrybar. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.