North Lismore NSW Property Investment

Ballina · 2480 · Score: 51/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$485K
Rental Yield
5.4%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$500/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
754
Days on Market
63 days
Annual Growth
1.5%

North Lismore Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$458.75/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$67K
AI Investment Analysis

North Lismore NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the suburb’s median house price sits at $485,402 (sole source: OnTheHouse), which underpins the modest investment score of 51 / 100.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $485,402 (sole source – not peer‑validated). - Growth trend: *Data not provided.* - Days on market: *Data not provided.*

Signal: With only a single‑source median price available, the market picture is incomplete. Buyers should treat the price as a reference point rather than a firm benchmark, while sellers may need to price competitively to attract interest.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: *Data not provided.* - Weekly rent: *Data not provided.* - Gross yield: *Data not provided.* - Demand rating: *Data not provided.*

Implication: Without rental metrics we cannot calculate yield or assess tenant demand. Investors should seek up‑to‑date rental data before committing to a long‑term rental (LTR) strategy.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *Data not provided.* - Occupancy: *Data not provided.* - Estimated annual revenue: *Data not provided.*

Conclusion: There is insufficient information to compare LTR versus short‑term rental (STR) performance. Further market research is required to gauge STR viability.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects: *Data not provided.* - Transport links: *Data not provided.* - Employment base: *Data not provided.*

Drivers/Limits: The lack of disclosed infrastructure or employment data means we cannot identify specific catalysts or constraints for demand in North Lismore.

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## 6. Bull Case If future data reveals:

  • Strong price growth (e.g., double‑digit annual appreciation),
  • Robust rental demand delivering yields above 5 %, and
  • New infrastructure or employment projects boosting population,

then the median price could climb to the $550k$600k band within 2–3 years, delivering capital gains of roughly 10–20 %. These figures are illustrative only; they depend on forthcoming market evidence.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Potential Impact (where data exists) | |------|--------------------------------------| | Vacancy risk | *No vacancy data – cannot quantify.* | | Single‑employer dependency | *Employment data not supplied – risk cannot be measured.* | | Supply pipeline | *No information on new dwellings – unknown pressure on prices.* | | Rate sensitivity | *Interest‑rate impact not quantified without historical price trends.* |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: Target properties around the sole‑source median of $485,402 (allow a ±5 % band to accommodate price uncertainty). - Minimum yield to target: *Cannot set a target yield until rental figures are obtained.* - Watch signals: 1. Release of validated median price data (multiple sources). 2. Publication of vacancy and rent statistics for North Lismore. 3. Announcement of any major infrastructure or employment projects. - Recommended strategy: 1. Hold existing exposure while monitoring the above signals. 2. Conduct a dedicated rental market audit to establish gross yield. 3. If rental yields exceed 5 % and price growth shows an upward trend, consider adding to the position. 4. If vacancy rises sharply or new supply floods the market, reassess and potentially exit.

Bottom line: The only concrete figure we have is the median house price of $485,402 (sole source). All other investment levers remain unknown, so a cautious Hold stance is appropriate until richer data becomes available.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Above-average capital growth (9.7% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (1596 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
6.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 9.7% + 10yr CAGR 3.9%

Headwinds
  • Slow market (63 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • High supply pipeline (1596 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green9 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
63 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
500 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
9.7 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.91 high impact
1yr Price Growth
1.5 medium impact
Population Growth
0.59 high impact
Median Household Income
1326 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
598.06 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
69.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.36 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.86 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

433

2020

361

2021

270

2022

310

2023

222

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2480

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 4 of 10 — Average

Population

45,938

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on North Lismore NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $500/wk median rent for North Lismore. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Albert Park PS
PrimaryGovernment
4.5/10
TRSC Richmond River
SecondaryGovernment
No data

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.