North Richmond NSW Property Investment

Hawkesbury · 2754 · Score: 67/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$900K
Rental Yield
2.8%
Vacancy Rate
2.3%
Median Weekly Rent
$715/wk
Median Unit Price
$885K
Population
6,358
Days on Market
37 days
Annual Growth
2.4%

North Richmond Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$686.12/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$100K
AI Investment Analysis

North Richmond NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the Investment Scorecard rates North Richmond at 67.0 / 100, which places the suburb in the “Buy” band on Estait’s internal model.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: *Data not supplied* (the market data block only notes that peer sources disagree on the median and does not give the actual range). - Growth trend: *Data not supplied*. - Days on market: *Data not supplied*.

*Implication:* With no concrete price, growth or liquidity figures, the only signal we can rely on today is the 67‑point scorecard, which already incorporates the limited market intelligence Estait has. Until the median price range and turnover metrics are disclosed, buyers should treat the market as uncertain and focus on the broader scorecard assessment.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: *Data not supplied* - Weekly rent: *Data not supplied* - Gross yield: *Data not supplied* - Demand rating: *Data not supplied*

*Implication:* Without rental fundamentals we cannot calculate a gross yield or assess tenant demand. Investors should obtain current vacancy and rent data before committing to a long‑term rental (LTR) strategy.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental (STR) Opportunity - Nightly rate: *Data not supplied* - Occupancy: *Data not supplied* - Estimated annual revenue: *Data not supplied*

*Implication:* In the absence of STR metrics, we cannot compare LTR versus STR profitability. A site‑specific STR feasibility study is required to determine which model, if any, adds value.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: *Data not supplied*

*Implication:* Without information on upcoming infrastructure or major employers, we cannot identify the primary demand drivers (or constraints) for North Richmond. Prospective buyers should verify council plans, transport upgrades, and local job markets before finalising an investment thesis.

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## 6. Bull Case Given the limited data, the bull case can only be expressed qualitatively:

  • If the scorecard remains at or improves above 67, and if forthcoming data shows a stable or rising median price, low vacancy, and solid rental yields, capital growth could outpace the Sydney metro average (historically ~5‑7 % p.a.).
  • A realised gross yield of 4‑5 % on a property purchased at the lower end of the (unknown) price range would support a strong cash‑flow scenario.

*Specific upside numbers cannot be modelled until the missing market metrics are supplied.*

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Known Metric | Potential Impact | |------|--------------|------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy data | Uncertainty around cash‑flow stability | | Employer concentration | No employment data | Possible over‑reliance on a single major employer | | Supply pipeline | No building approvals data | New stock could dilute rents and price growth | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | No price‑to‑income or debt‑service data | Higher rates could compress buyer capacity and price momentum |

*All risks are flagged due to the absence of concrete figures; investors should source the missing data before proceeding.*

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## 8. The Play - Entry price range: *Data not supplied* – obtain recent sales to define a realistic purchase band. - Minimum yield target: *Data not supplied* – aim for a gross yield of at least 4 % once rental figures are known. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of the official median house price range. 2. Release of vacancy and rent statistics for the suburb. 3. Confirmation of any major infrastructure or employment projects. - Recommended strategy: 1. Secure the scorecard advantage – the 67‑point rating already signals a favourable risk‑adjusted return. 2. Gather missing data – request the latest median price, days‑on‑market, and rental metrics from local agents or the ABS. 3. Perform a cash‑flow test – once rent and vacancy numbers are known, calculate gross and net yields. 4. Proceed to purchase if the purchase price sits at the lower end of the (yet‑to‑be‑revealed) median range and the yield meets the 4 % threshold.

*Until the missing market data is obtained, treat the investment as a conditional buy – the scorecard provides a green light, but the final decision hinges on confirming price, rental and infrastructure fundamentals.*

Gentrification Index

Stable / established1.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Active development pipeline (1493 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
5.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.1%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.0% + 10yr CAGR 7.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (4.4%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.3%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (1493 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green4 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.3 high impact
Days on Market
37 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
715 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.96 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
7.75 high impact
1yr Price Growth
2.4 medium impact
Population Growth
4.41 high impact
Median Household Income
1764 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
55.75 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
7 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
68.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.84 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.34 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

257

2020

325

2021

221

2022

335

2023

355

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2754

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

7,065

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

8/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on North Richmond NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $715/wk median rent for North Richmond. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Richmond NPS
PrimaryGovernment
5.4/10
Colo HS
SecondaryGovernment
6.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.

North Richmond NSW Property Market — Median, Growth, Yield | Estait