North Rocks NSW Property Investment

The Hills · 2151 · Score: 66/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.77M
Rental Yield
2.8%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$950/wk
Median Unit Price
$804K
Population
9,136
Days on Market
56 days
Annual Growth
-20.3%

North Rocks Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$446/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$65K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

North Rocks NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the Investment Scorecard of 66.0 / 100 is the key figure that pushes the suburb into the “Buy” zone.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $1,774,399 (sole source – OnTheHouse, not peer‑validated). - Growth trend & days on market: not supplied in the data set, so we cannot quantify recent price momentum or how quickly properties are selling.

Signal: With a high median price and a solid scorecard, the market appears to be attractive for capital‑growth‑oriented buyers. Sellers can likely command premium prices, but buyers should verify price trends before committing.

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## 3. Rental Market No rental‑specific data (vacancy rate, weekly rent, gross yield, demand rating) were provided. Consequently we cannot calculate current yields or comment on rental demand. Investors should obtain up‑to‑date rental statistics before relying on rental income.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity The data set does not include STR nightly rates, occupancy percentages, or estimated annual revenue. Without these figures we cannot assess whether a long‑term rental (LTR) or short‑term rental (STR) strategy would be more profitable in North Rocks.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers No information on local projects, transport links, employment hubs, or other demand drivers was supplied. As a result we cannot identify specific infrastructure or economic factors that are currently underpinning or limiting demand in the suburb.

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## 6. Bull Case Given the limited data, the bull‑case scenario can only be described qualitatively:

  • If price growth continues and rental demand strengthens, the median house price could appreciate beyond the current approximate $1.77 m level.
  • A rise in rental yields (once data become available) would enhance cash‑flow returns, supporting higher total returns for investors.

Specific upside numbers cannot be modelled without concrete growth rates, rental figures, or supply constraints.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Detail (based on available data) | |------|----------------------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy rate is provided; an unexpected rise could erode cash flow. | | Single‑employer dependency | Employment base data are missing, so we cannot gauge exposure to any dominant employer. | | Supply pipeline | Without data on new developments, we cannot assess whether future supply could pressure prices or rents. | | Rate sensitivity | A median price of approximately $1,774,399 means mortgage repayments are sizable; any increase in interest rates could materially affect investor cash flow. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: Target properties priced around the sole‑source median of ≈ $1,774,399. Look for discounts to this level to build a margin of safety. - Minimum yield to target: Not determinable until rental data (weekly rent, vacancy) are sourced. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of peer‑validated median price data. 2. Release of local vacancy and rent statistics. 3. Announcement of infrastructure or employment projects in the area. - Recommended strategy: 1. Due‑diligence first – obtain up‑to‑date rental and growth figures from a secondary source (e.g., CoreLogic, SQM). 2. Secure a purchase below the sole‑source median to protect against over‑paying. 3. Hold for capital growth while monitoring rental market developments; shift to an LTR focus once reliable yield data emerge.

*All conclusions are drawn strictly from the data supplied; any additional metrics must be sourced independently before final investment decisions are made.*

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.5/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
▲Strong capital growth (17.3% CAGR) — above national average
—Outer suburban location (20.1km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
—Mixed tenure (42% renters) — transitional suburb profile
▲Active development pipeline (16605 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
12.4%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
11.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
9.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 17.3% + 10yr CAGR 7.6%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • −Population decline (-0.1%/yr) — demand headwind
  • −High supply pipeline (16605 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green4 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
56 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
950 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
17.28 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
7.56 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-20.3 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.1 high impact
Median Household Income
1957 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
37 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
20.06 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
55 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.78 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.28 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

2,097

2020

3,552

2021

3,693

2022

3,561

2023

3,702

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2151

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

21,204

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on North Rocks NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $950/wk median rent for North Rocks. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Nth Rocks PS
PrimaryGovernment
8.7/10
Muirfield HS
SecondaryGovernment
7.6/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.