Nyngan NSW Property Investment

Warren · 2825 · Score: 42/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$238K
Rental Yield
8.7%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$400/wk
Median Unit Price
$213K
Population
1,953
Days on Market
47 days
Annual Growth
6.2%

Nyngan Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$755/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$110K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Nyngan NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Avoid – the suburb’s Investment Scorecard of 42 / 100 signals a high‑risk profile that outweighs the limited upside shown by the available price data.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $238,272 (pending peer validation). - Median unit price: data not provided. - Growth trend / days on market: no figures supplied, so we cannot quantify recent price momentum or liquidity.

Signal: With a low‑confidence median price and no growth data, the market appears uncertain. Buyers should negotiate hard; sellers lack strong pricing power.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: data not provided. - Weekly rent: data not provided. - Gross yield: cannot be calculated without rent figures. - Demand rating: data not provided.

Implication: The absence of rental metrics makes it difficult to gauge cash‑flow potential. Investors should treat the rental market as unproven until reliable vacancy and rent data emerge.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental (STR) Opportunity - STR nightly rate: data not provided. - Occupancy rate: data not provided. - Estimated annual STR revenue: cannot be estimated.

Conclusion: With no STR data, we cannot recommend a long‑term rental (LTR) versus STR strategy. Until market‑specific STR performance is known, LTR remains the default, albeit with the same data gaps noted above.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects / transport / employment base: data not provided.

Drivers/Limiting factors: The lack of disclosed infrastructure or major employer information suggests limited identifiable growth catalysts at present.

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## 6. Bull Case If future data validates a stronger employment base, new infrastructure, or a rise in demand, the suburb could see capital growth in the 5‑10 % p.a. range and improved rental yields. Without concrete figures, this scenario remains speculative.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Detail (where available) | |------|--------------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy data – potential for high emptiness if demand is weak. | | Single‑employer dependency | No employer data – if the town relies on a single industry, any downturn could hit property demand hard. | | Supply pipeline | No information on new builds – an unexpected influx of housing could depress prices and yields. | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | Standard for all Australian property; higher rates would increase borrowing costs and could further suppress demand. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry price range: approximately $200,000 – $280,000, centred on the pending median of $238,272. - Minimum gross yield target: aim for ≥ 4 % (requires rent data to confirm). - Watch signals: 1. Peer‑validated median price confirming the $238k level. 2. Publication of vacancy and rent figures showing sustainable cash flow. 3. Announcement of any infrastructure or major employer projects. - Recommended strategy: Given the low score and data gaps, avoid new exposure until the suburb’s price, rental and employment fundamentals are independently verified. Consider allocating capital to suburbs with a higher scorecard and a complete data set.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.5/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
—Moderate capital growth (4.0% CAGR)

Growth Forecast

medium confidence
1yr Forecast
3.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.0%

Headwinds
  • −Population decline (-1.6%/yr) — demand headwind

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green6 yellow7 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
47 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
400 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.02 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
-0.45 high impact
1yr Price Growth
6.2 medium impact
Population Growth
-1.57 high impact
Median Household Income
1451 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
1.3 medium impact
School Zone Quality
3.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
454.4 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
62.8 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
8.73 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
7.23 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

0

2020

3

2021

2

2022

1

2023

5

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2825

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

2,202

Education (IEO)

3/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Nyngan NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $400/wk median rent for Nyngan. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Nyngan PS
PrimaryGovernment
3/10
Nyngan HS
SecondaryGovernment
3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.