Peak Hill NSW Property Investment

Narromine · 2869 · Score: 49/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$304K
Rental Yield
5.5%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$320/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
1,162
Days on Market
235 days
Annual Growth
33.3%

Peak Hill Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$446/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$65K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Peak Hill NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the suburb scores 49.0 / 100 on the Estait Investment Scorecard, signalling caution rather than a clear buying opportunity.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $304,000 (median is treated as an estimate). - Median unit price: not available. - Median weekly rent: $32.

No data are supplied for days on market or recent price growth, so we cannot quantify a trend. The approximate median price of $304k places Peak Hill in the low‑price end of the NSW market, which generally favours buyers who can negotiate below that level. Sellers will need to price competitively to attract interest.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not provided. - Median weekly rent: $32. - Gross rental yield (calculated):

\[ \text{Yield} = \frac{($32 \times 52)}{304,000} \times 100 \approx 5.5\% \]

  • Demand rating: not provided.

A calculated gross yield of ~5.5 % is modest but respectable for a low‑price regional suburb. Without vacancy or demand data we cannot confirm the sustainability of that yield.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental (STR) Opportunity - STR nightly rate: not provided. - Occupancy: not provided. - Estimated annual STR revenue: not provided.

Because no STR metrics exist, we cannot compare long‑term rental (LTR) to short‑term rental performance. In the absence of tourism or event drivers, LTR remains the default strategy.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: not supplied.

Without concrete information on new infrastructure, major employers, or transport upgrades, we cannot identify specific catalysts or constraints for demand.

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## 6. Bull Case If the suburb attracts new employment or infrastructure investment, the following upside could materialise:

MetricAssumed upliftResulting figure
Median house price+10 %≈ $334,000
Weekly rent+10 %$35.20
Gross yield (using new price & rent)–≈5.5 % (unchanged because both price and rent rise proportionally)

A 10 % price rise would lift the median house value to roughly $334k, delivering capital growth while preserving the 5‑6 % yield.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Detail (where numbers exist) | |------|------------------------------| | Low rental income | Weekly rent of $32 translates to a modest gross yield of ~5.5 %. | | Vacancy uncertainty | No vacancy data; a high vacancy would erode the already thin yield. | | Economic concentration | No information on major employers; reliance on a single industry would increase downside risk. | | Supply pipeline | Absence of data on new housing supply; a surge could pressure prices and rents. | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | At a purchase price of $304k, higher rates would increase borrowing costs and could reduce cash flow. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry price range: around $280,000 – $330,000, bracketing the approximate median of $304k. - Minimum yield target: 5 % gross (to cover holding costs and provide a modest return). - Watch signals: 1. Publication of any new infrastructure or employer projects. 2. Release of vacancy or days‑on‑market statistics showing improvement. 3. Evidence of price appreciation beyond the current approximate median. - Recommended strategy: - Existing owners should hold and monitor the above signals. - New investors may consider a cautious entry at the lower end of the price band, but only if they can secure a purchase price that delivers at least a 5 % gross yield and are comfortable with the data gaps.

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Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
▲Active development pipeline (58 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
2.9%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.1% + 10yr CAGR 4.4%

Headwinds
  • −Slow market (235 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −Moderate supply pipeline (58 approvals)

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green5 yellow9 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
235 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
320 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.13 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.4 high impact
1yr Price Growth
33.3 medium impact
Population Growth
1.07 high impact
Median Household Income
1056 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
7.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
1.3 medium impact
School Zone Quality
2.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
307.91 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
67.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.47 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.97 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

5

2020

15

2021

19

2022

6

2023

13

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2869

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

1,528

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

2/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Peak Hill NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $320/wk median rent for Peak Hill. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Peak Hill CS
PrimaryGovernment
No data
Peak Hill CS
SecondaryGovernment
No data

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.